Ok, turns out the analysis of brain RO is fairly complicated. There’s not really any good way to summarize this and cover all the uncertainties, so I’m just going to post the whole analysis. The bottom line is for neurological benefit there is evidence higher dosing is likely beneficial vs. with sarcopenia, but then this gets into the potential for hepatic stress. In HIV or stroke patients, the hepatic stress risk is an easy tradeoff for the potential benefit. In someone who is healthy, the dynamic is a bit different and more caution is warranted. At any rate, here is the final analysis output from Claude Opus 4.6 extended thinking: Maraviroc CNS Pharmacokinetics: BBB Penetration, CSF Distribution, and Receptor Occupancy Analysis
1. BBB Transport and Efflux
Maraviroc is a confirmed P-glycoprotein (P-gp/ABCB1) substrate (FDA label). This is the dominant mechanism limiting CNS penetration. P-gp is the most abundantly expressed efflux transporter on the luminal (blood-facing) membrane of brain capillary endothelial cells and actively pumps maraviroc back into the blood compartment.
Rat IV data (Dorr et al.):
| Compartment |
Concentration vs Free Plasma |
| CSF |
~10% of unbound plasma |
| Brain tissue |
~25% of unbound plasma |
The brain tissue > CSF gradient is consistent with P-gp dynamics: P-gp expression at the choroid plexus (blood-CSF barrier) is oriented differently from the BBB, and CSF acts as a “sink” that drug is pumped into from brain ECF via bulk flow. Brain extracellular fluid (ECF) concentrations may therefore be modestly higher than lumbar CSF measurements suggest.
No BCRP (ABCG2) or MRP involvement has been specifically characterized for maraviroc, though the BBB expresses multiple redundant efflux systems. Given maraviroc’s moderate lipophilicity and positive charge at physiological pH, P-gp is likely the dominant efflux mechanism.
CNS Penetration Effectiveness (CPE) Score: 3 (highest tier among antiretrovirals), which may seem paradoxical given low CSF concentrations — but reflects that achievable CSF levels still exceed antiviral IC₅₀/IC₉₀ targets.
2. Human CSF Pharmacokinetic Data
Study 1: Garvey et al. (2012) — 150 mg BID with lopinavir/ritonavir
| Parameter |
Value |
| Plasma Ctrough (pre-dose) |
337 ± 74 ng/mL |
| Plasma C₄h |
842 ± 174 ng/mL |
| Plasma C₆h |
485 ± 100 ng/mL |
| CSF C₄h |
7.5 ± 1.3 ng/mL |
| CSF C₆h |
5.1 ± 1.2 ng/mL |
| CSF:plasma ratio (mean) |
1.01% (range 0.57–1.61%) |
Note: 150 mg BID dose was used because lopinavir/ritonavir (CYP3A4 inhibitor) approximately doubles maraviroc exposure. Plasma levels here are comparable to 300 mg BID without a PI booster.
After 14 days of maraviroc intensification, a 14.8% increase in right basal ganglia NAA/Cr ratio (a marker of neuronal integrity) was observed, significantly correlated with plasma Ctrough (P=0.05, r=0.61) but not with CSF concentration.
Study 2: Tiraboschi et al. (2010) — Multiple doses, HIV+ patients
| Parameter |
Value |
| Unbound plasma fraction |
13% (range 7–18%) (or ~24% per other studies) |
| CSF fractional penetrance vs total plasma |
2.8% |
| CSF fractional penetrance vs unbound plasma |
18.9% |
| CSF:IC₅₀ ratio (wild-type HIV) |
9.2-fold (IQR 5.6–15.4) |
Correlation between CSF and unbound plasma was statistically significant (r=0.71, p=0.03), supporting the use of unbound plasma as a CSF estimator.
3. Plasma Protein Binding — A Key Variable
The literature reports two distinct ranges for maraviroc plasma protein binding:
| Source |
Protein Bound |
Free Fraction (fu) |
| FDA label / DrugBank |
~76% |
~24% |
| Tiraboschi et al. clinical |
82–93% |
7–18% (median 13%) |
This discrepancy matters significantly for CSF penetration estimates. Using fu=0.24 vs fu=0.13 changes estimated CSF concentrations by nearly 2-fold. The clinical study (Tiraboschi) may better reflect conditions in HIV patients with altered α₁-acid glycoprotein levels. For conservative analysis, I’ll present both.
4. Estimated CSF Concentrations Across Doses
Using CSF penetrance ≈ 19% of unbound plasma (Tiraboschi), and approximate plasma PK from Phase I/clinical data:
Maraviroc 300 mg BID (no CYP3A modulation)
Plasma PK: Cmax ~785 ng/mL, Cmin ~52 ng/mL, AUCτ ~2850 ng·h/mL, Cavg ~240 ng/mL
| Parameter |
fu = 0.24 |
fu = 0.13 |
| Unbound Cmax |
188 ng/mL |
102 ng/mL |
| Unbound Cmin |
12.5 ng/mL |
6.8 ng/mL |
| Est. CSF Cmax (19% of fu) |
~36 ng/mL |
~19 ng/mL |
| Est. CSF Cavg |
~8.7 ng/mL |
~5.9 ng/mL |
| Est. CSF Cmin |
~2.4 ng/mL |
~1.3 ng/mL |
Maraviroc 150 mg BID (no CYP3A modulation)
Approximately half the exposure of 300 mg BID.
| Parameter |
fu = 0.24 |
fu = 0.13 |
| Est. CSF Cmax |
~18 ng/mL |
~10 ng/mL |
| Est. CSF Cavg |
~4.3 ng/mL |
~3.0 ng/mL |
| Est. CSF Cmin |
~1.2 ng/mL |
~0.6 ng/mL |
Maraviroc 300 mg QD (no CYP3A modulation)
Similar Cmax to BID, but Cmin at 24h is much lower (~10–15 ng/mL plasma).
| Parameter |
fu = 0.24 |
fu = 0.13 |
| Est. CSF Cmax |
~36 ng/mL |
~19 ng/mL |
| Est. CSF at 24h trough |
~0.4 ng/mL |
~0.2 ng/mL |
Maraviroc 150 mg BID + CYP3A4 inhibitor (e.g., ritonavir boost)
Exposure increased ~4-fold. This mirrors the Garvey clinical CSF data directly.
| Parameter |
Measured |
| CSF C₄h |
7.5 ± 1.3 ng/mL |
| CSF C₆h |
5.1 ± 1.2 ng/mL |
Important caveat: CSF concentrations lag behind plasma by hours due to slow equilibration across the blood-CSF barrier, and lumbar CSF lags behind ventricular/cortical CSF. The trough CSF estimates above likely underestimate actual brain ECF concentrations at trough, since: (a) brain tissue achieves ~2.5× higher levels than CSF in rats, and (b) the slow dissociation of maraviroc from CCR5 means RO persists independently of free drug levels.
5. CCR5 Receptor Occupancy — Peripheral vs CNS
5a. Peripheral Blood (Measured)
From Rosario et al. (2008) — Phase I PK/PD analysis in healthy volunteers and HIV patients:
-
Emax model KD = 0.0894 ng/mL (the concentration for 50% RO)
- At 3 mg BID (the lowest dose tested), peripheral RO was already ≥50–60%
- At all clinically relevant doses, peripheral RO was near-saturated (>95%)
- No effect compartment was needed — the PK-RO relationship was direct
The KD is extraordinarily low relative to plasma concentrations. At the standard 300 mg BID dose (Cavg ~240 ng/mL), the free drug concentration (~30–60 ng/mL) exceeds the KD by ~300–700×, yielding >99.8% peripheral RO.
5b. The Spare Receptor Problem (HIV-Specific)
For antiviral efficacy, Watson et al. demonstrated a KE of ~0.012 — meaning only 1.2% of free activated CCR5 receptors are needed for 50% of the maximal infection rate. Consequently, 98.8% of CCR5 must be blocked to reduce infection rate by 50%. The in vivo antiviral IC₅₀ was ~8 ng/mL, which is ~90× higher than the binding KD.
This spare receptor dynamic is specific to HIV entry biology and does NOT apply to neuroinflammatory signaling.
5c. Estimated CNS CCR5 Receptor Occupancy
Using the measured KD of 0.0894 ng/mL and the simple Emax relationship:
RO (%) = 100 × [Drug] / ([Drug] + KD)
Assuming the KD is similar for CNS CCR5 (same receptor, likely same allosteric binding pocket):
300 mg BID — Estimated CNS RO Over 12-Hour Dosing Interval
| Time Post-Dose |
Est. CSF (ng/mL) |
KD-Based RO |
Effective RO* |
| 0h (trough) |
1.3–2.4 |
94–96% |
~97–98% |
| 2h (Cmax) |
19–36 |
99.5–99.8% |
~99.8% |
| 6h |
5–10 |
98–99% |
~99% |
| 12h (pre-next dose) |
1.3–2.4 |
94–96% |
~97–98% |
150 mg BID — Estimated CNS RO
| Time Post-Dose |
Est. CSF (ng/mL) |
KD-Based RO |
Effective RO* |
| 0h (trough) |
0.6–1.2 |
87–93% |
~93–96% |
| 2h (Cmax) |
10–18 |
99–99.5% |
~99.5% |
| 6h |
3–5 |
97–98% |
~98% |
| 12h (pre-next dose) |
0.6–1.2 |
87–93% |
~93–96% |
300 mg QD — Estimated CNS RO
| Time Post-Dose |
Est. CSF (ng/mL) |
KD-Based RO |
Effective RO* |
| 0h (trough, 24h) |
0.2–0.4 |
69–82% |
~85–90% |
| 2h (Cmax) |
19–36 |
99.5–99.8% |
~99.8% |
| 12h |
1.3–2.4 |
94–96% |
~97–98% |
| 18h |
0.5–1.0 |
85–92% |
~92–95% |
| 24h (pre-next dose) |
0.2–0.4 |
69–82% |
~85–90% |
150 mg QD — Estimated CNS RO
| Time Post-Dose |
Est. CSF (ng/mL) |
KD-Based RO |
Effective RO* |
| 0h (trough, 24h) |
0.1–0.2 |
53–69% |
~70–80% |
| 2h (Cmax) |
10–18 |
99–99.5% |
~99.5% |
| 12h |
0.6–1.2 |
87–93% |
~93–96% |
| 24h (pre-next dose) |
0.1–0.2 |
53–69% |
~70–80% |
*Effective RO accounts for maraviroc’s slow dissociation kinetics (see Section 6), which cause actual receptor occupancy to exceed what equilibrium free-drug levels would predict.
6. Slow Dissociation Kinetics — The Key Mitigating Factor
Maraviroc exhibits a two-step binding mechanism (Swinney et al., 2014):
- Initial receptor–ligand complex (RA) forms rapidly
- Isomerization to a tighter complex (R’A) with ≥13-fold increase in affinity
Key kinetic parameters:
| Parameter |
Value |
| k₋₂ (dissociation rate from R’A) |
1.2 × 10⁻³ min⁻¹ |
| Dissociation half-life (radioligand) |
>6 hours (Napier et al., 2005) |
| Residence time estimate |
~10.5 hours (Cambridge MedChem) |
This means that once maraviroc occupies a CCR5 receptor and the complex isomerizes, it stays bound for many hours even after free drug concentrations drop. This has several critical implications:
-
The pharmacodynamic half-life exceeds the pharmacokinetic half-life. Even though plasma t₁/₂ is ~16h (and CSF clearance may be faster), the receptor remains occupied.
-
Trough RO is higher than equilibrium calculations predict. The “Effective RO” column above accounts for this.
-
QD dosing may be more viable than CSF PK alone would suggest. Even with very low trough CSF levels, receptors occupied during peak exposure remain blocked for hours afterward.
-
New receptor synthesis rate becomes relevant. CNS CCR5 turnover (new receptor insertion) rather than drug dissociation may be the limiting factor for sustained RO at low CSF levels.
7. CSF Drug Elimination and Turnover
CSF is produced at ~0.35 mL/min (~500 mL/day) and turns over approximately 3–4× per day (total CSF volume ~150 mL). This bulk flow dilution contributes to drug clearance from CSF independent of BBB efflux.
For maraviroc in CSF:
- P-gp is also expressed at the choroid plexus, actively clearing drug from CSF to blood
- Bulk CSF flow removes drug at the rate of CSF turnover
- The combined effect is that CSF drug levels decline faster than brain ECF levels
This further supports the concept that brain parenchymal (ECF) concentrations — and therefore actual neuronal/glial CCR5 occupancy — likely exceed what lumbar CSF measurements indicate.
8. Neurological Benefit Threshold — What RO Is Needed?
The Evidence Base
Genetic evidence (CCR5Δ32):
- Homozygous CCR5Δ32 (complete loss): resistance to HIV, no obvious neurological deficit, but enhanced hippocampal learning/memory in knockout mice (Joy et al., 2019)
- Heterozygous CCR5Δ32 (~50% functional reduction): better cognitive outcomes after stroke, less depression, less anxiety at 6/12/24 months post-stroke (TABASCO cohort, ~15% of cohort)
- This suggests even partial CCR5 inhibition provides neurological benefit
Preclinical evidence:
- CCR5 knockout mice: enhanced hippocampal learning and memory
- Maraviroc in TBI models: improved learning/cognition, reduced apoptosis, suppressed neuroinflammatory A1 astrocyte activation, inhibited NF-κB/NLRP3 pathway
- Maraviroc in stroke models: promoted motor recovery, axonal sprouting in pre-motor cortex
- Maraviroc in EAE models: reduced microgliosis, astrogliosis, attenuated immune cell infiltration
- Maraviroc in doxorubicin-CICI model: improved Morris Water Maze performance
- Maraviroc in hemiparkinsonian primates (low dose): attenuated glial activation, reduced T-cell infiltration
Clinical evidence:
- HIV+ patients (maraviroc intensification, 150 mg BID + LPV/r, 24 weeks): significant improvement in neuropsychological performance among those with mild-to-moderate cognitive impairment; decreased CD16+ inflammatory monocytes
- Post-stroke depression trial (300 mg QD, 10 weeks): Montgomery-Asberg Depression Rating Scale improvements observed (open-label, n=10)
- MARCH trial (ongoing Phase II): testing 150 mg or 600 mg/day for post-stroke cognitive impairment
Estimated Neurological Benefit RO Threshold
Unlike HIV entry (which requires near-complete CCR5 blockade due to spare receptors), the neurological targets of CCR5 antagonism are:
-
Anti-inflammatory signaling (CCR5-mediated chemokine signaling in microglia/astrocytes): Classical receptor pharmacology applies. 50–80% RO should produce substantial reduction in CCR5-mediated inflammatory signaling (CCL3/CCL4/CCL5 → NF-κB, MAPK cascades).
-
Neuronal plasticity/synaptic function (CCR5 suppresses MAPK/CREB signaling that supports LTP): The CCR5Δ32 heterozygote data suggests ~50% functional reduction is beneficial. This corresponds roughly to sustained >50% RO.
-
Leukocyte trafficking inhibition (preventing monocyte/T-cell infiltration): Likely requires higher RO, probably >70–80% sustained, as trafficking is driven by chemokine gradients and even partial receptor availability allows some response.
Conservative estimate: Sustained CNS RO >70–80% likely provides meaningful anti-neuroinflammatory and neuroprotective benefit. Sustained >50% RO may provide plasticity/cognitive benefits.
9. Summary: RO vs Time by Dose — Clinical Interpretation
| Dose Regimen |
Sustained CNS RO (trough estimate) |
Likely Neurological Benefit |
| 300 mg BID |
94–98% (never drops below ~94%) |
Maximal — near-complete CCR5 blockade throughout. Covers all proposed mechanisms. |
| 150 mg BID |
87–96% (trough ~87–93% KD-based, ~93–96% effective) |
High — robust blockade with minor trough dips. Likely sufficient for all neurological targets. |
| 300 mg QD |
69–90% (trough ~69–82% KD-based, ~85–90% effective) |
Moderate-to-High — Slow dissociation rescues trough significantly. Likely adequate for anti-inflammatory and plasticity benefits. Some uncertainty about sustained leukocyte trafficking inhibition. |
| 150 mg QD |
53–80% (trough ~53–69% KD-based, ~70–80% effective) |
Moderate — Border zone. The slow dissociation provides critical rescue at trough, but this is the lowest regimen likely to maintain meaningful benefit. Adequate for plasticity (>50%), marginal for full anti-inflammatory effect. |
| 50 mg QD |
<50% at trough (KD-based ~30–45%) |
Likely insufficient — Trough RO drops below thresholds for anti-inflammatory benefit. May still provide some plasticity enhancement during peak hours. |
10. Key Uncertainties and Caveats
-
KD assumption: The 0.0894 ng/mL KD was measured on peripheral blood lymphocytes using an MIP-1β internalization assay. CNS CCR5 (on microglia, astrocytes, neurons) has not been directly characterized for maraviroc binding affinity. Post-translational modifications, lipid environment, and receptor conformation may differ.
-
CSF ≠ Brain ECF: Lumbar CSF is a poor proxy for brain ECF drug levels. Rat data suggest brain tissue achieves 2.5× CSF levels. For P-gp substrates specifically, CSF may underestimate brain parenchymal exposure due to active efflux at the choroid plexus being oriented differently from the BBB.
-
Receptor turnover in CNS: The rate of new CCR5 insertion into neuronal/glial membranes is unknown. If turnover is slow (as expected for a non-constitutive receptor upregulated primarily during inflammation), the slow dissociation kinetics become even more favorable — new unoccupied receptors appear slowly.
-
Non-equilibrium conditions: At the low CSF concentrations near trough, maraviroc-CCR5 binding is far from equilibrium. The two-step binding mechanism means that receptors already in the R’A state are essentially “locked” for hours, while newly synthesized/recycled receptors may not achieve full R’A occupancy before the next dose.
-
CYP3A4 interactions: Many common medications alter maraviroc exposure dramatically (2–4× increase with CYP3A4 inhibitors, 50% decrease with inducers). Any CNS repurposing strategy must account for the patient’s full medication profile.
-
Inflammation-dependent BBB permeability: In neuroinflammatory states (the very conditions where benefit is sought), BBB permeability increases. This would paradoxically improve CNS penetration precisely when it’s needed most.
-
Time to steady-state CNS effect: Given the slow BBB penetration rate, the slow two-step binding mechanism, and CSF turnover dynamics, steady-state CNS RO likely requires several days to establish. The MARCH trial uses 12 months of treatment, which is more than adequate. Acute neuroprotection (e.g., for TBI/stroke) would face a kinetic disadvantage unless loading doses or alternative delivery routes are used.
References (Selected)
- Garvey L et al. J Antimicrob Chemother. 2012;67(1):206-212. (CSF PK and cerebral metabolites)
- Tiraboschi JM et al. Clin Infect Dis. 2010;51(11):1353-1355. (CSF penetrance)
- Rosario MC et al. Br J Clin Pharmacol. 2008;65(Suppl 1):86-94. (PK/PD RO analysis)
- Watson C et al. Br J Clin Pharmacol. 2008;65(Suppl 1):95-104. (Receptor theory/spare receptors)
- Swinney DC et al. Br J Pharmacol. 2014;171(14):3364-3375. (Binding kinetics/residence time)
- Napier C et al. Biochem Pharmacol. 2005;71(1-2):163-172. (Dissociation half-life)
- Abel S et al. Antivir Ther. 2009;14(5):607-618. (PK review and drug interactions)
- Joy MT et al. Cell. 2019;176(5):1143-1157. (CCR5 in stroke recovery and learning)
- Ben Assayag E et al. Int J Stroke. 2022;17(8):928-935. (MARCH trial protocol)
- Friedman-Levi Y et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2021. (CCR5 in TBI recovery)
- Molad J et al. J Affect Disord. 2024. (Post-stroke depression MVC trial)