Dr. Kaeberlein's Optispan Podcast Series - Rapamycin and More

Claude:

I’ll fetch and analyze that YouTube video for you.I’m unable to directly access YouTube videos through my tools. However, I can see from your document that you’ve already provided a transcript of what appears to be an interview between Brad Stanfield and someone at a Longevity Investors Conference in Gstaad, Switzerland.

Let me create a tidy summary and critique based on the transcript you’ve provided:

Summary

Participants: Brad Stanfield (primary care physician, New Zealand) and interviewer at Longevity Investors Conference

Key Topics Covered:

  1. Brad’s Background

    • Primary care physician in Auckland, NZ
    • Started YouTube channel (end of 2019) focused on evidence-based aging science
    • Initial interest sparked by noticing wrinkles and exploring anti-aging interventions
  2. Rapamycin Clinical Trial

    • Designed 40-person study testing rapamycin (6mg/week) + exercise in older adults
    • Cost ~$500,000 USD
    • Brad mortgaged his house to fund the shortfall (~$150,000)
    • Study completed, results submitted for peer review
    • Planning PhD at University of Auckland to continue this research
  3. Healthcare Philosophy

    • Strong emphasis on clinical guidelines and evidence-based medicine
    • Practices “patient-centered care” rather than paternalistic medicine
    • NZ healthcare system incentivizes prevention over treatment
    • Conservative approach: benefits must “vastly outweigh” risks
  4. Key Medical Opinions

    • Biological age clocks: Shouldn’t guide clinical decisions; lack validation
    • Vitamin D testing: Questions clinical utility; endocrine society doesn’t know optimal levels
    • GLP-1 agonists: Enthusiastic; significant benefits for diabetes prevention and cardiovascular health
    • SGLT2 inhibitors: Uses one personally for blood pressure (off-guideline use)
    • Resveratrol/Metformin: Admits getting these wrong initially
  5. Philosophy on Science Communication

    • Focus on human randomized controlled trials over animal/cell studies
    • Prefers clinical guidelines over individual expert opinions
    • Willing to admit mistakes publicly
    • Critical of high-profile doctors who misrepresent aging biology
  6. Disagreement Areas with Interviewer

    • Trust in medical societies: Brad trusts guidelines more; interviewer skeptical (cites HRT controversy)
    • Vitamin D supplementation: Brad doesn’t test and follows fixed dosing; interviewer believes in personalized approach
    • Risk-benefit calculations: Debate over how much benefit must exceed risk

Critique

Strengths:

  1. Intellectual Honesty: Brad’s willingness to admit past mistakes (resveratrol, sulforaphane, metformin) demonstrates integrity rare in the health influencer space.

  2. Financial Commitment: Mortgaging his house for rapamycin research shows remarkable dedication to advancing the field.

  3. Methodological Rigor: Strong emphasis on CONSORT guidelines and proper trial design is commendable.

  4. Patient-Centered Approach: The focus on shared decision-making rather than paternalism is progressive.

Weaknesses & Concerns:

  1. Overly Conservative on Vitamin D:

    • Brad’s position seems paradoxical: he acknowledges people should supplement (because most work indoors/wear sunscreen), but dismisses testing
    • The argument that “we don’t know optimal levels” doesn’t logically lead to “therefore don’t test”
    • Interviewer correctly points out that without measuring, you can’t know if 800 IU is adequate for an individual
    • The retrospective data Brad cites is confounded (institutionalized patients aren’t representative)
  2. Excessive Deference to Guidelines:

    • Brad’s trust in medical societies seems untempered by historical analysis
    • The HRT example is instructive: guidelines were wrong for 20+ years, harming millions of women
    • His counterargument that “medicine needs to be cautious” doesn’t address the harm done by excessive caution
    • Cost-benefit analyses by committees often underweight benefits and overweight rare risks
  3. “Vastly Outweigh” Standard is Problematic:

    • Brad argues benefits must “vastly outweigh” risks, but this is arbitrary
    • Many effective preventive interventions have modest effect sizes at population level but large cumulative benefits
    • This standard would preclude many useful interventions
    • The interviewer’s pushback here is well-founded
  4. Inconsistency on Guidelines:

    • Brad takes an SGLT2 inhibitor off-guideline for blood pressure
    • This reveals that even he recognizes guidelines can be suboptimal
    • Yet he maintains strong deference to them for patients
  5. Limited Engagement with Biological Age Debate:

    • While Brad is correct these tests shouldn’t guide clinical decisions now, he doesn’t engage with their potential future utility
    • Dismissing them entirely seems premature given rapid development in the field
  6. Aging Biology Understanding:

    • Brad doesn’t strongly disagree with interviewer’s pessimistic assessment (10% vs 90% understanding)
    • This suggests his focus on translational medicine may come at expense of deeper mechanistic thinking

Key Philosophical Divide:

The conversation reveals a fundamental tension between:

  • Precautionary principle (Brad): Don’t act without strong evidence; avoid harm
  • Expected value maximization (Interviewer): Calculate probabilities and act when expected benefit exceeds expected harm

Both approaches have merit, but Brad’s position seems more suited to resource-constrained public health systems than to personalized/precision medicine for motivated individuals.

Overall Assessment:

Brad Stanfield is clearly a thoughtful, ethical physician doing important work (especially the rapamycin trial). However, his framework may be overly conservative for the longevity optimization context. His strength in clinical medicine and guideline adherence becomes a limitation when applied to preventive/enhancement medicine where guidelines lag evidence and individual variation matters more.

The interview would have benefited from deeper exploration of:

  • How to make decisions under uncertainty with asymmetric information
  • The appropriate role of n=1 experimentation
  • How prevention differs from treatment in risk-benefit calculus
  • Whether aging should be treated as a “disease” requiring intervention or “natural process” requiring strong justification for intervention
2 Likes

Claude failed to do the transcript, but I have the transcript from chatGPT

Introduction
Host:
The very high-profile medical doctor continues to get the fundamental biology of aging literature wrong and presents it incorrectly. I can’t help but ask myself: is it that they don’t know better, or that they do know better and choose to keep presenting bad information?

My wife once said, “This is a draft idea. No one will ever listen to you.” And here we are now. She’s since said, “Yeah, I was wrong.”

We were still left with about a $150,000 shortfall for the study, and that’s where my wife let us remortgage our house.

How we understood the surface of the Earth in 500 BC—I feel like that’s how we understand the biology of aging today. There’s a lot we don’t understand. If we were really getting closer to solving aging, we ought to be able to increase the lifespan of a mouse by more than what Rick and Roy did 50 years ago. We aren’t doing it.

One of my biggest concerns is that no doctor should be recommending these tests.


Meeting at the Longevity Investors Conference

Host:
Hey guys, look who I ran into at the Longevity Investors Conference in Gstaad, Switzerland: Brad Stanfield. This is the first time we’ve met in person. I’ve been on your podcast a couple of times and we’ve done some other things together, which I’m sure we’ll talk about. Great to connect in person. We’ll just talk about whatever comes to mind and see where it goes.

Brad:
Absolutely. A lot of people watching will know of you or have seen your podcast, but may not know much about you or how you got interested in this space. I’ll say “longevity,” but you can choose a different word if you like. Maybe talk about your background, what you’re doing now, and how you got into your YouTube channel and day job.


Brad’s Background & Starting the YouTube Channel

Brad:
My day job is as a primary care physician in Auckland, New Zealand. Getting there was a bit of a journey.

As a junior doctor working in hospitals, I noticed some wrinkles around my eyes. That kicked off my interest in aging—are we closer to slowing the aging process, what can we do about wrinkles, are there breakthroughs underway? That led me into things like metformin and IGF-1, and that really started my journey.

Originally, I had the idea of becoming an orthopedic surgeon. I spent about a year fixing broken bones and hips but realized that lifestyle wasn’t for me. I took a year out and worked in the emergency department. During that time I kept thinking: I’m really interested in the aging process, but I want to bring science into this field—especially because there’s so much misinformation online.

People were extrapolating single-cell research straight to human supplements: “Look what happened in a single cell, therefore you should take this.” You still see that all the time. That motivated me to start my YouTube channel.

I had no idea it would grow or that people would listen. My wife told me, “This is a daft idea, no one will ever listen to you, you shouldn’t do this.” But here we are now. She admits she was wrong—and that’s the only time I’ve heard her say that. She’s been very supportive.

I started the channel at the end of 2019, while working in the emergency department. My early videos—now deleted—were filmed on a couch in a hospital residence after night shifts. One thing led to another.

Host:
Your channel has done great. What do you think led to its success?

Brad:
I think people were craving clear communication of human, clinical trial data. There’s so much misinformation and people genuinely want to be healthy, not misled.

People seem to appreciate that I’m guideline-driven. Primary care guidelines are fantastic, but most of the public don’t know about them. I try to democratize that information in a way that isn’t too dreary. I think that approach resonated.

Host:
When I first saw your videos, I had to get past the “YouTube style” to get to the content. But your work is very data-driven and stays scientific. In my view, you’re more conservative in presenting science than I am. I really like how rigorous you are.

Brad:
I appreciate that. Honestly, I’m scared when I publish a video in case I’ve got something wrong. With the channel size I have, if I make mistakes and people follow that advice, that’s a real problem—especially as a practicing physician. The advice I give on YouTube needs to match what I give to patients in clinic.

If I’m wrong on YouTube, I’m potentially wrong with patients too. So I double-check guidelines, make sure I haven’t missed key clinical trials, and focus on randomized controlled trials. A lot of people quote observational data—vitamin D, magnesium—huge associative datasets suggesting benefits, but randomized human trials often show mixed or null results. Vitamin D and cancer is a classic; the VITAL trial is one I often cite.


How to Treat Evidence & Admitting Mistakes

Host:
All evidence is imperfect—even clinical trials. You have to synthesize everything and form a probabilistic understanding of what’s most likely to be true, recognizing it can change.

I also care deeply about accuracy, but we’re going to make mistakes. The key is being willing to say, “I got this wrong, here’s what the evidence actually says.” That separates people trying to do their best from those chasing clicks.

Brad:
Exactly. I’ve publicly corrected myself on resveratrol, sulforaphane supplements, metformin, and more. I went wrong when I deviated from my clinical training and got pulled along by charismatic individuals in the aging space. I trusted “elders” in the field instead of applying my usual standards.

I think people appreciate that I say, “I got it wrong, here’s why, and here’s what I’m changing.”

Host:
Many people got fooled by the resveratrol story. It’s frustrating that some big, well-credentialed names still misrepresent aging biology and sirtuin data, especially when they should know better by now.

There’s a very high-profile medical doctor who consistently misstates basic aging biology and sirtuin/resveratrol literature. It’s unfortunate.

Brad:
I don’t really watch that person’s content.


Rapamycin Trial: Motivation, Design & Funding

Host:
Let’s switch topics to rapamycin. You became very interested in testing rapamycin in the context of exercise response in healthy older adults. You raised funds with philanthropic support, viewer donations, and your own resources—which is uncommon. Talk about that trial: what it tested, how it worked, and where it’s at.

Brad:
My interest in rapamycin came from the Interventions Testing Program, where rapamycin repeatedly extended lifespan in male and female mice.

Clinically, rapamycin has a bad reputation as an immunosuppressant for transplant patients, so there’s concern that if we get the dose wrong in healthy people, we might increase infections or cancer. Fortunately, some human trials show that if mTOR inhibitors are dosed correctly, those risks can be managed. But we still lack robust data in healthy individuals.

A lifespan study in humans would take decades, so we needed a functional outcome. I focused on muscle performance, which declines with age and is linked to overactive mTOR in older muscle. Overactive mTOR may limit autophagy. The idea: dose rapamycin intermittently to turn mTOR down, allow autophagy and cellular cleanup, then use exercise to reactivate mTOR to rebuild healthier tissue.

With your input, we designed a trial: exercise three days a week (Mon/Wed/Fri) plus 6 mg rapamycin once weekly on Saturday. The primary endpoint was the 30-second chair stand test—sensitive to lower-body power in older adults.

It was only a 40-person study, but took about two years to fund. Viewers donated; Vadell contributed; the total cost was about USD $500,000. After two years we were only a quarter funded. To close the remaining gap we created a supplement line, with the idea that profits could fund clinical trials like this. Another funder came on board, but we still had a ~$150,000 shortfall.

That’s when my wife agreed we could remortgage our house to get the trial done.

We’ve completed the study, written it up, and submitted it for peer review. Once that’s done, we can share the results. I think they’re exciting and informative for how to dose rapamycin in healthy individuals to affect muscle performance.

Host:
Your wife sounds extremely supportive.

Brad:
I’m very lucky. Still paying off that mortgage though.

Host:
Why 6 mg once a week?

Brad:
We lack definitive human data—that’s exactly why we did the study. We chose intermittent dosing to create windows of mTOR inhibition (to boost autophagy) followed by drug washout so that exercise could reactivate mTOR for muscle building. The hope is that this “on/off” pattern optimizes the balance.

Host:
You need mTOR to build muscle, so chronic suppression is a concern. Animals on rapamycin show better muscle function with age, but human data are sparse.

Brad:
Exactly. It’s a major gap we wanted to help fill. Big pharma has little incentive to fund these trials, so it required unconventional funding.

We’ve submitted the paper; it hasn’t been rejected and has been under review for a while, which is a good sign.


PhD Plans & Doing High-Quality Trials

Host:
You’re also starting a PhD. Why, given you’re an MD with a successful channel and a supplement brand?

Brad:
Presenting other people’s data is one thing. I want to generate high-quality data myself—especially because many studies in this space aren’t robust.

I want our trials to be rock-solid and CONSORT-compliant: proper randomization, blinding, powering, reporting, minimizing bias. A PhD at the University of Auckland gives me supervision, structure, and better access to funding pathways. Our rapamycin work is fully non-profit, and the university is happy to sponsor it; 100% of donations go to the studies.

If people want to donate, they can contact me via my website, drstanfield.com, or through my YouTube channel, and I’ll connect them with the correct people at the university.


Prevention Culture: New Zealand vs US

Host:
We’ve talked offline about prevention. My view is that US primary care is reactive, not focused on keeping people healthy. You’ve said New Zealand is different.

Brad:
New Zealand has a predominantly public system. A key goal is to prevent hospitalizations because they’re expensive. Preventing heart attacks and strokes in primary care is more cost-effective than treating them.

The government incentivizes prevention, and training reflects that. There’s a strong prevention culture. It’s jarring to hear how different it is in the US, where incentives favor procedures and hospital care.

Host:
Insurers in the US don’t reliably value prevention, and many patients won’t do something if insurance doesn’t pay. That culture plus misaligned incentives makes change hard.

Brad:
Because funding is constrained in New Zealand, there are clear guard rails on what tests I can order. I spend a lot of time on my channel discussing which tests are worthwhile and which are not. People often think “more data is better,” but unnecessary testing can be wasteful or harmful.


Vitamin D: Testing vs Population-Level Strategy

Brad:
Vitamin D is a good example. There was (and is) a big push to test vitamin D levels. Recent Endocrine Society guidelines essentially say we don’t know how to interpret vitamin D levels in a way that meaningfully changes outcomes for most people.

Trials using ~800 IU daily seem to “lock in” bone and immune benefits for the general population. Higher doses have shown potential harm. Vitamin D blood levels often track frailty or indoor living rather than cause outcomes. Retrospective data haven’t strongly supported routine testing as a driver of better outcomes.

Given cost constraints and limited benefit, broadly testing everyone isn’t a great use of resources in my setting. People can still self-pay if they wish, but at the population level we prioritize interventions with clearer impact.

Host:
I’m skeptical of guideline committees because of past failures like hormone replacement therapy (HRT) after the Women’s Health Initiative. I worry they overweight small safety signals and underweight quality-of-life and broader benefits.

Brad:
I see guidelines as our “least bad” option. They’re produced by domain experts reviewing the evidence. Not perfect, but better than individual “cowboy” interpretations. Medicine should move cautiously; reversing widespread recommendations is difficult.

Host:
But that caution can cause harm too, as many women lost access to HRT benefits for decades.

Brad:
We can debate that specific history, but my broader point is: following well-constructed guidelines usually reduces errors at the population level, while allowing for justified individual deviations.


Biological Age Tests: Why Brad is Concerned

Host:
Let’s talk about one of your big concerns: biological age scores.

Brad:
Right. I see two main problems:

  1. Lack of clinical validation. We don’t have solid evidence that a given biological age score should drive interventions.
  2. Misuse in decision-making. Some clinicians recommend supplements or treatments based on these scores. That’s premature.

I see biological age tests as interesting research tools, but they shouldn’t guide routine clinical decisions on preventing heart disease, stroke, or cancer.

Host:
I agree. No doctor should recommend a test they don’t understand, can’t quantify in terms of accuracy/precision, or that doesn’t clearly inform care. That describes most biological age tests today.

Brad:
If patients want to pay for them and they find them motivating, fine. But I explain that our management plan for real risks won’t change based on that number.


Patient-Centered Care vs Paternalism

Brad:
In my training there was a strong shift away from paternalism and toward patient-centered care. It’s not my job to dictate; it’s my job to present benefits, risks, and options, and support informed decisions.

If patients ask what I’d recommend, I’ll say, “Based on this evidence and these guidelines, I suggest X,” but it’s their decision.

Host:
Many US doctors are still more paternalistic. I like your approach, though it can be hard when the “true” information is uncertain and evolving.


How to Judge Clinical Trials (CONSORT)

Brad:
To judge trial quality:

  • Look at the journal as a rough first filter.

  • Then go through the trial using the CONSORT checklist:

    • Randomization
    • Blinding
    • Allocation concealment
    • Power and sample size
    • Pre-specified endpoints
    • Reporting of funding and conflicts

If a trial doesn’t meet these standards, I’m cautious about its conclusions. Many non-replicating early results come from underpowered or poorly designed studies.


GLP-1s, SGLT2s & Risk–Benefit

Host:
On risk–benefit, you often say benefits should “vastly” outweigh risks. Why “vastly”?

Brad:
Because harms can be large for a minority of patients. With GLP-1 agonists, most people benefit, but some experience severe GI issues or very rare serious complications. Medications always carry risks; I want to be confident that for almost everyone, net benefit is clearly positive.

I explain risks and benefits and let patients decide. Fear is a real driver, so they need honest numbers.

Host:
How do you see GLP-1s and SGLT2 inhibitors?

Brad:
They’re effective preventative tools in the right context:

  • In type 2 diabetes, GLP-1s and SGLT2s reduce cardiovascular events and slow kidney decline.
  • In obesity, GLP-1s reduce diabetes risk.
  • There’s growing discussion about using them earlier (e.g., prediabetes), potentially instead of metformin, given stronger weight and metabolic effects.

Personally, I take:

  • An ARB for genetically driven hypertension.
  • An SGLT2 inhibitor as an add-on for blood pressure and diuretic effect, after consulting a nephrologist.

That’s outside strict guideline indications but is a fully informed, patient-centered decision—where in this case I’m the patient.

If a patient similarly informed wanted SGLT2s as second-line with an ARB, I’d consider it, making clear it’s not yet guideline standard.


Are We Close to “Solving” Aging?

Host:
You wanted to discuss whether treating the “hallmarks of aging” is enough and how close we are to understanding aging biology.

I often use the Hecataeus map analogy: our current view of aging is like a 500 BC world map—useful but crude, with huge unknowns. I’d say we’re closer to 10% than 90% understanding.

Two implications if that’s true:

  1. Our current framework is useful. We know enough to improve healthspan and probably lifespan in humans and companion animals.
  2. We underfund discovery. The hallmarks framework has narrowed focus. It’s now hard to fund work that doesn’t fit those boxes, so we get deep dives into known pathways but too little true discovery.

A telling point: the largest lifespan extension in a mammal (discounting extreme developmental manipulations) is still classic caloric restriction work by Walford and others ~50 years ago. If we were close to “curing aging,” we’d expect to beat that routinely in mice. We haven’t.

So: lots of good progress, but we need more resources for exploring the unknown alongside targeted, mechanistic work. We should walk and chew gum at the same time.

Brad:
Agreed—there’s a lot to be done. This has been great; let’s continue the discussion another time.

Host:
Absolutely. Thanks for sitting down.


If you’d like, next step I can: (a) turn this into a clean article-style piece, or (b) strip it down to a bullet-point summary + key themes for rapid reference.

3 Likes

Thank you @John_Hemming

Generally Brad Stanfield is a little too conservative for my taste, but I have to admire his dedication to the study. How many researchers mortgage their house to do a study? Wow.

9 Likes

One of the reasons why I buy his supplements.

5 Likes

And again, I just need to point out what an absolute failure this is. People throw around millions or billions of dollars on sheer vanity projects, but people like Brad, Matt K have to scrabble around for pennies to answer super important questions.

There must be plenty of people with 9 or 10 figure net worths at those investor conferences. If you could fund a study that eventually extends life expectancy by 1 year, the accompanying economic gains are MASSIVE. It’s so short sighted to keep doing these tiny, short studies which hint at something promising, and never just asking the big question. If I ever become wealthy enough, it’s one of the first things I’d do with my money.

9 Likes

The question with studies, however, is what the answer is that they might obtain.

I am an investor so I look at things from an investor’s perspective. Investing is different to philanthropy. Too many spending proposals are really philanthropy rather than investment.

I have positive views about Brad Stanfield even though I don’t agree with him on everything. In fact I have some quite serious disagreements. As I see it raising funds via the supplements for the study is not a bad idea. However, there remains a question as to what additional useable knowledge we might get from the study.

4 Likes

The healthy disagreement between these two doctors makes for an incredibly good interview. It is certainly worth watching in its entirety.

3 Likes

AI Summary:

Introduction to Longevity and Aging

  • The discussion opens with the idea of achieving longevity escape velocity, which refers to a point where advancements in medicine and technology allow individuals to live significantly longer and healthier lives.
  • The speakers emphasize that modern medicine often fails to keep people healthy, focusing instead on prolonging life without addressing overall health quality.
  • Concerns are raised about the potential for charlatans to exploit the growing interest in longevity, leading to misinformation and ineffective treatments in the field.

Measuring Biological Age

  • The conversation shifts to the complexities of measuring biological age, with experts suggesting that current methods are not fully reliable or accurate.
  • It is highlighted that while biological age can be estimated through various metrics, these do not provide a definitive measure of an individual’s health or aging process.
  • The importance of focusing on current health status and quality of life is emphasized over the pursuit of an exact biological age measurement.
  • Experts agree that existing biological age clocks measure correlated factors rather than biological age itself, which can lead to misconceptions about their utility.

The Role of Glycans in Aging

  • The discussion introduces glycans as significant biological molecules that play a crucial role in cellular functions and inflammation regulation.
  • Glycans are described as modifications of proteins that evolved to manage the complexity of multicellular life, influencing various physiological processes.
  • Research on glycans aims to understand their role in inflammation, which is linked to many modern diseases, and how they can be utilized in clinical diagnostics.
  • The concept of glycan age is proposed as a potential clinical measure that could provide insights into an individual’s ability to regulate inflammation and overall health.

Biological Age Testing and Its Limitations

  • The speakers share personal experiences with various biological age tests, noting inconsistencies in results that raise questions about their reliability.
  • It is highlighted that many tests claim to measure biological age but are actually estimating it based on correlated biological markers, leading to potential misunderstandings.
  • Concerns are raised regarding the lack of transparency in testing companies about error rates and the implications for consumers and healthcare providers.
  • The necessity for accurate and clinically validated tests is emphasized to ensure that individuals can make informed decisions about their health based on reliable data.

The Future of Longevity Research

  • Looking ahead, the experts express optimism about the potential advancements in longevity research and the possibility of achieving significant breakthroughs within the next decade.
  • The panel agrees that a shift towards more proactive health measures and resource allocation in aging research could lead to substantial improvements in healthspan and lifespan.
  • They anticipate that AI-driven tools will emerge to help individuals make better health decisions based on comprehensive data analysis.
  • The importance of public and institutional support for longevity research is underscored, with a call for a cultural shift in how aging and health are perceived and addressed.

Challenges and Concerns in the Longevity Space

  • The speakers express concerns about the potential for misinformation and the rise of unproven treatments as the longevity movement gains popularity.
  • They caution against the influence of charlatans who may exploit public interest in longevity for profit without providing scientifically validated solutions.
  • The need for a rigorous scientific approach to aging research is emphasized to ensure that advancements lead to genuine improvements in health and longevity.
  • The conversation reflects a desire for a balanced approach that combines optimism about scientific advancements with caution regarding the commercialization of longevity.

Conclusion and Call to Action

  • The discussion concludes with a call for individuals to take charge of their health and explore avenues for improving their quality of life through informed choices.
  • The experts encourage a proactive mindset towards health, emphasizing that understanding and utilizing available data can empower individuals to make better lifestyle decisions.
  • They express hope that the longevity movement will continue to evolve in a way that prioritizes scientific integrity and public health.
2 Likes

See research study using Rapamycin at 1 mg per day and blood testing of subjects.

What a Pilot Study on Rapamycin and Cardiomyopathy Tells Us About Reversing the Biology of the Aging Heart

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This is an AMA episode where Dr Matt answers the pressing questions audience had. In this episode, Matt shares candid updates on his TRT journey and physique, debates rapamycin protocols vs. extreme fasting, and separates the scary headlines from the science on microplastics and “magic” mushrooms. Plus: why he wakes up at 4:30 AM, the truth about HBOT, and a surprising update on his books.

6 Months on TRT Changed My Body (THIS Is My Takeaway)

AI Summary (Gemini)

Here is the high-resolution summary and analysis of the “Ask Matt Anything” transcript.

Executive Summary

In this AMA session, Matt Kaeberlein addresses audience questions regarding longevity interventions, emphasizing a data-driven, pragmatic approach over “shiny object” syndrome. A significant portion of the discussion focuses on his personal transition to Testosterone Replacement Therapy (TRT) for primary hypogonadism. He details the psychological hurdles of accepting a lifelong therapy, the failure of natural supplements (boron, diet), and the clinical outcomes: improved physique and energy, but notably altered blood biomarkers including elevated hematocrit and suppressed HDL. He notes that while fear of injections delayed his start, the benefits have outweighed the risks, and he is now experimenting with daily micro-dosing to manage side effects.

Regarding Rapamycin, Kaeberlein maintains his protocol despite rumors of peers (e.g., Peter Attia) cycling off. He argues that new data continues to support Rapamycin’s efficacy for cognitive and inflammatory decline, rejecting the notion of stopping based on anecdotes or “mouth sores” without personal adverse effects. He distinguishes between Rapamycin and 48-hour water fasts: while both inhibit mTOR, fasting induces broader physiological stress responses and caloric restriction benefits that Rapamycin does not replicate entirely.

The session also covers skepticism toward Hyperbaric Oxygen Therapy (HBOT) for general longevity (citing a lack of animal lifespan data compared to hypoxia), a dismissal of epigenetic clocks in favor of functional and clinical chemistry biomarkers (e.g., lipids, insulin), and a pragmatic stance on microplastics—acknowledging their ubiquity (specifically from car tires) while advising against anxiety-induced avoidance.

Bullet Summary

  • Rapamycin Stance: Kaeberlein sees no evidence-based reason to alter Rapamycin protocols despite rumors of other influencers stopping; current data supports benefits for cognitive decline and inflammation.
  • Rapamycin Dosing: He takes it in the morning to avoid potential (though unproven) circadian disruption; likely aids age-related sleep fragmentation rather than causing insomnia.
  • Fasting vs. Rapamycin: While both inhibit mTORC1, fasting triggers broader metabolic effects (autophagy, ketosis) that a specific mTOR inhibitor does not.
  • Exercise Interference: Both fasting and Rapamycin acutely attenuate protein synthesis, but long-term impact on muscle gain is likely negligible if protein intake is sufficient.
  • TRT Diagnosis: Kaeberlein suffered from primary hypogonadism (high LH/FSH, low T), meaning the pituitary signal was active but testes were unresponsive; thus, hCG would have been ineffective.
  • TRT Side Effects: Experienced significantly increased appetite, increased hematocrit (erythrocytosis), and a sharp decrease in HDL cholesterol.
  • Lipid Management: To combat high Lp(a) and ApoB (independent of TRT), he has initiated Repatha (PCSK9 inhibitor) rather than statins.
  • HBOT Skepticism: HBOT is validated for specific hypoxia/TBI indications but lacks robust data for slowing aging; hypoxia (low oxygen) actually has stronger animal lifespan data than hyperoxia.
  • Biomarker Utility: Functional metrics (VO2 max, strength) and standard clinical chemistry (ApoB, Insulin) are currently more actionable and reliable than epigenetic clocks.
  • Microplastics: The primary source is likely environmental (e.g., car tires/road dust) rather than just food packaging; avoidance should be pragmatic, not anxiety-driven.
  • Supplements: Consistently takes Creatine (5g/day); acknowledges Astaxanthin and Glycine as candidates for future deep dives based on ITP (Interventions Testing Program) interest.
  • Psilocybin: Acknowledges mental health potential but avoids it personally due to a lack of current need and risk of disrupting a stable mental state.

Claims & Evidence Table

Claim Made Evidence Provided Assessment
Rapamycin causes sleep disruption. Speaker notes this is anecdotal; animal data suggests it attenuates age-related circadian decline. Weak / Anecdotal
48-hour fasting equals weekly Rapamycin. Both inhibit mTOR. Speaker notes fasting has broader effects; Rapamycin is more specific. Speculative / Plausible
TRT causes hair loss. Speaker noted initial thinning but no acceleration; admits age is a confounder. Confounded / Subjective
TRT lowers HDL and raises Hematocrit. Speaker’s n=1 blood work confirmed suppressed HDL and elevated hematocrit post-TRT. Strong / Consensus
Car tires are a major source of microplastics. Speaker cites external data suggesting tires contribute more than food packaging. Strong (Supported by environmental research)
Epigenetic clocks are superior to clinical markers. Speaker refutes this, arguing clinical markers (lipids, insulin) + functional tests are more actionable. Strong (Clinically valid)
HBOT extends lifespan. Speaker notes absence of mouse lifespan data; cites data that hypoxia (low oxygen) extends lifespan. Unsupported (for HBOT longevity)

Actionable Insights

  1. TRT Monitoring: If initiating TRT, strictly monitor Hematocrit and HDL. If hematocrit rises, consider increasing injection frequency (micro-dosing) to stabilize peaks/troughs or donating blood (therapeutic phlebotomy) if indicated by a physician.
  2. Lipid Intervention: If you have high Lp(a) or ApoB and cannot tolerate statins (or prefer not to take them), investigate PCSK9 inhibitors (e.g., Repatha) as a potent alternative for lipid management.
  3. Tier 1 Supplement: Maintain Creatine Monohydrate (5g/daily) consistent usage. It is safe, effective for cognitive and physical performance, and low cost.
  4. Diagnostic Prioritization: Do not overspend on commercial epigenetic age tests. Prioritize comprehensive blood panels (Insulin, ApoB, CRP) and functional testing (grip strength, DEXA, VO2 max) for actionable health data.
  5. Microplastic Hygiene: Focus on high-yield avoidance (e.g., filtration of air in high-traffic zones due to tire particles, water filtration) rather than obsessing over occasional plastic packaging.
  6. Rapamycin Timing: Take Rapamycin in the morning to mitigate any potential placebo or physiological interference with sleep onset.

Technical Deep-Dive

mTOR Inhibition: Pharmacologic vs. Physiological

Kaeberlein distinguishes between Rapamycin (an allosteric inhibitor of mTORC1) and Fasting (a physiological stressors).

  • Rapamycin: Forms a complex with FKBP12 to bind the mTORC1 acting site. It is highly specific. While it mimics the “starvation” signal, it does not induce the systemic counter-regulatory hormonal cascade (e.g., severe insulin suppression, ketogenesis, cortisol elevation) associated with prolonged fasting.
  • Fasting: Inhibits mTORC1 via reduced amino acid availability (specifically leucine/arginine sensing via Sestrins/CASTOR) and insulin/IGF-1 signaling. However, fasting also activates AMPK (energy sensing) and Sirtuins more robustly than Rapamycin alone.
  • Conclusion: They are overlapping but distinct. Rapamycin allows for mTOR inhibition without catabolism or caloric deficit; fasting provides mTOR inhibition with autophagic flux driven by energy depletion.

TRT-Induced Dyslipidemia and Erythrocytosis

  • HDL Suppression: Exogenous testosterone increases the activity of Hepatic Lipase, an enzyme that catabolizes HDL particles. This is a known, dose-dependent pharmacological effect, often resulting in markedly lower HDL-C.
  • Erythrocytosis (High Hematocrit): Testosterone stimulates erythropoiesis (red blood cell production) by increasing Erythropoietin (EPO) sensitivity in progenitor cells and suppressing Hepcidin (the iron-regulatory hormone). Suppressed hepcidin increases iron availability for hemoglobin synthesis. This creates a risk for increased blood viscosity and thrombotic events, distinct from the lipid risk.

Fact-Check Important Claims

Claim: Car tires are a major source of microplastics.

  • Verification: True. Tire Wear Particles (TWP) are considered a primary source of microplastics entering the ocean and air. A 2017 study by the IUCN estimated that tire abrasion accounts for 28% of primary microplastics in global oceans.
  • Source: International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN).

Claim: Hypoxia (low oxygen) increases lifespan in mice, not Hyperbaria.

  • Verification: True. Chronic continuous hypoxia is detrimental, but the hypoxic response (via HIF-1alpha activation) has been linked to longevity. A landmark study published in PLOS Biology (2023) by Rogers et al. demonstrated that “continuous mild hypoxia” extended lifespan in mice by ~50% and decreased neurological aging. Conversely, no robust murine study demonstrates lifespan extension purely from hyperbaric oxygen (HBOT), though HBOT may lengthen telomeres in human PBMCs (a controversial proxy for aging).
  • Source: Rogers, R.S., et al. “Hypoxia extends lifespan and ameliorates neurodegeneration.” PLOS Biology (2023).

Claim: Rapamycin improves age-related sleep fragmentation.

  • Verification: Supported. Research indicates that mTOR activity increases with age in the SCN (suprachiasmatic nucleus), disrupting circadian rhythm. Inhibition of mTOR (via Rapamycin) has been shown to improve the robustness of circadian rhythms in aged mice.
  • Source: Khapre, R.V., et al. “BMAL1-dependent regulation of the mTOR signaling pathway delays aging.” Aging Cell (2014).
6 Likes

Speaking of this podcast, I would appreciate it if the episodes had less tabloid-like titles. Kind of a turn off.

2 Likes

They all have to play the attention getting game, and sadly this is what gets viewers.

7 Likes

The latest update on Ora Biomedical:

Gemini Video Summary:

Based on the provided transcript between Dr. Matt Kaeberlein (Optispan) and Dr. Ben Blue (Ora Biomedical), here is the analysis.

Video Analysis: Ora Biomedical & The Million Molecule Challenge

A. Executive Summary

Dr. Ben Blue, CEO of Ora Biomedical, and Dr. Matt Kaeberlein discuss the current state of longevity drug discovery, specifically the limitations of hypothesis-driven research focused on the “Hallmarks of Aging.” They argue that the field has narrowed prematurely, ignoring vast chemical spaces. Ora Biomedical combats this using the “Wormbot,” a robotics and AI platform capable of high-throughput in vivo screening of C. elegans (worms).

The central thesis is that unbiased, massive-scale screening is the only way to find high-magnitude longevity interventions. Ora has screened approximately 10,000 interventions to date—claiming this is already the largest quality dataset in history. Key revelations include the discovery of a molecule that extends lifespan by 60% (outperforming the current gold standard, Rapamycin) and a novel mTOR inhibitor that is more effective than Rapamycin.

Commercially, Ora is pivoting to “resilience” applications—specifically radiation resistance for the US Air Force and Space Force—as a beachhead market to fund longevity research. They argue that longevity therapeutics naturally confer stress resistance, making this a viable regulatory and financial pathway. They estimate that $5 million is required to complete the “Million Molecule Challenge,” a project to map the lifespan effects of one million compounds.

B. Bullet Summary

  • Wormbot Scalability: Ora operates nine “Wormbots,” each capable of screening 100 molecules per week with five replicates, allowing for roughly 1,000 full lifespan experiments per month.
  • The 60% Breakout: Ora has identified a small molecule that extends C. elegans lifespan by 60%, significantly outperforming Rapamycin (the current benchmark).
  • Unbiased Screening: The field currently relies on “mechanism-first” logic (e.g., “does it hit an aging hallmark?”). Ora prioritizes “phenotype-first” logic (“does the animal actually live longer?”).
  • mTOR Variance: Screening reveals massive variance within pathways. While the mTOR pathway is a validated target, individual mTOR inhibitors range from extending lifespan by 50% to shortening it by 30%.
  • Combinatorial Complexity: Combining drugs (e.g., Metformin + X) yields unpredictable synergistic or antagonistic effects that cannot be modeled by current AI without ground-truth biological data.
  • The “Receipts” Problem: Much of the existing aging data is low-quality or lacks visual proof. Ora retains “ground truth” video evidence for every worm screened.
  • Commercial Pivot to Space: To survive the biotech “valley of death,” Ora is targeting radiation resistance for astronauts and the military. This creates a billable indication (acute radiation syndrome/protection) faster than “aging.”
  • Ivermectin Control: The screen blindly identified Ivermectin (an anti-parasitic) as a compound that shortened lifespan by 90%, validating the system’s ability to detect toxicity.
  • Skin Health Application: Topical applications of longevity compounds (like Rapamycin) are being explored for FDA approval via “wrinkle reduction” indications (citing Hayflick Partners).
  • Discovery Cost: Blue estimates the “Million Molecule Challenge” would cost $5 million to complete, potentially identifying hundreds of compounds better than Rapamycin.

D. Claims & Evidence Table

Claim Made in Video Evidence Provided Assessment
Ora has a molecule superior to Rapamycin. Cited internal data showing up to 60% lifespan extension in C. elegans (vs. Rapamycin’s typical lower range). Strong (in model organism); Speculative for humans until mammalian data exists.
Current AI cannot predict longevity interventions effectively. Argument: LLMs and models are trained on open-source data which lacks “ground truth” negative/positive controls and large datasets. Strong. AI is limited by the quality of training data; the longevity dataset is historically sparse.
$5 Million could fund 1 million lifespan experiments. Extrapolation based on current Wormbot operating costs and throughput capabilities. Plausible. Assuming economies of scale hold and hardware/labor costs remain linear.
Longevity interventions confer radiation resistance. Initial screening data showing lifespan-extending molecules also protect worms from UV radiation. Strong. Scientific consensus supports the link between stress response pathways (e.g., DNA repair) and longevity.
“Polysi” (phonetic) is a better mTOR inhibitor. Cited data from a crowdsourced experiment by “Chris” (likely Chris Kowalski/Rapamycin.news) finding a specific inhibitor outperforms Rapamycin. Promising. Needs peer-reviewed validation and specific compound identification.
In vivo (worm) data translates better than cell culture. Intuition/Argument: Whole organisms capture systemic complexity (metabolism, tissue interaction) that cell cultures miss. Speculative. While logical, C. elegans lack circulatory/adaptive immune systems, making translation to humans difficult.

E. Actionable Insights

For the Biotech Investor & Entrepreneur

  1. Evaluate “Resilience” Plays: Look for longevity companies pivoting to “stress resistance” (radiation, wound healing, TBI) to bypass the FDA’s refusal to recognize aging as a disease. This is a viable path to market.
  2. Demand “Ground Truth” Data: When evaluating AI drug discovery firms, ask for the proprietary biological dataset they trained on. If it’s public data (DrugAge), their model is likely weak.
  3. Monitor “Polysi” & Novel mTOR Inhibitors: Keep a watch for the publication of the specific mTOR inhibitors identified by Ora that outperform Rapamycin. This represents a new IP class.
  4. Skepticism of Mechanism-Only Pitches: Be wary of pitch decks that show pathway activation (e.g., “We activate Sirtuins”) without showing lifespan extension in an animal model. Mechanism Outcome.
  5. Skin Health as a Wedge: Topical Rapamycin (and next-gen analogs) for “wrinkles” is a near-term commercializable longevity product. Follow companies like Hayflick Partners.

For Longevity Research & Health

  1. Support Open Source Screening: The “Million Molecule Challenge” allows individuals to sponsor molecule testing. This is a mechanism to crowdsource data that NIH refuses to fund.
  2. Combinatorial Caution: Be extremely cautious with “biohacking” stacks. Data shows that combining two beneficial drugs (e.g., Metformin + X) can frequently cancel benefits or cause toxicity.
  3. Wait for Mammalian Validation: The 60% extension in worms is exciting, but do not self-experiment with novel compounds until mouse model data (specifically the ITP or similar rigor) confirms safety and efficacy.

H. Technical Deep-Dive

High-Throughput Phenotypic Screening vs. Target-Based Discovery

The industry standard for drug discovery is Target-Based: identify a protein (e.g., mTORC1), find a molecule that binds to it, and assume biological efficacy.

  • The Flaw: This ignores off-target effects, bioavailability, and organism-level complexity. As noted in the transcript, many mTOR inhibitors technically hit the target but shorten lifespan due to toxicity or poor pharmacokinetics.

Ora Biomedical utilizes Phenotypic Screening:

  1. Model: C. elegans (Nematode). Short lifespan (3 weeks), fully mapped connectome, genetic conservation with humans (e.g., Insulin/IGF-1 signaling, mTOR, Autophagy pathways).
  2. Method: Robotics (Wormbot) capture longitudinal imaging of thousands of populations simultaneously.
  3. Endpoint: All-cause mortality (Lifespan). This integrates all biological failures (cancer, neurodegeneration, metabolic collapse) into a single binary metric: dead or alive.

The Radiation-Longevity Crossover

The technical rationale for the pivot to radiation resistance involves the Hormesis and Stress Response overlap.

  • Mechanism: Interventions that downregulate growth pathways (like mTOR) typically upregulate maintenance pathways (Autophagy, DNA repair).
  • Application: By pre-treating with a longevity drug, the organism’s cells enter a “protected state,” prioritizing DNA repair over replication. When hit with ionizing radiation (or UV in the screen), the organism survives damage that would otherwise induce apoptosis or senescence.

I. Fact-Check Important Claims

  • Claim: “Rapamycin is the best we have.”

  • Status: True. In terms of reproducible, pharmacological lifespan extension in mammals (mice), Rapamycin is the gold standard, consistently showing 10-25% extension in the NIA Interventions Testing Program (ITP).

  • Claim: “Astronauts arrive sick… damage accrued from radiation.”

  • Status: Supported. Spaceflight Associated Neuro-ocular Syndrome (SANS), muscle atrophy, and increased cancer risk due to Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCR) are documented NASA concerns. Accelerated aging markers (telomere length changes, DNA methylation) have been observed (e.g., the NASA Twins Study).

  • Claim: “Ivermectin shortened lifespan by 90%.”

  • Status: True. Ivermectin is a glutamate-gated chloride channel agonist. In invertebrates (C. elegans and parasites), this causes paralysis and death. It is safe in humans because we have a blood-brain barrier and different channel structures, but it is lethal to worms.


2 Likes

This was interesting… another mTOR inhibitor company for topical use to prevent skin aging. Seems like ongoing rapamycin use for prevention of skin aging is probably not a bad bet. This is the second company offering this type of product and going for FDA approval. Matt is on the advisory board, he notes.

https://www.hayflickpartners.com

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Everything I do for Healthspan (and why I skip THESE Supplements)

Gemini Pro Video Summary:

Here is the summary and analysis of the provided transcript.

A. Executive Summary

In this episode of the Optispan podcast, the host (Matt Kaeberlein) details his personal health protocol as of late 2025, covering lifestyle pillars, supplements, and pharmaceutical interventions. His core philosophy emphasizes a strict hierarchy of efficacy: Foundational Lifestyle Pillars (Eat, Move, Sleep, Connect) provide the vast majority of health benefits, followed by targeted medications, with supplements ranking a distant third due to weak regulatory oversight and inconsistent efficacy.

Regarding lifestyle, he adheres to a whole-food diet minimizing added sugars, engages in daily Zone 2 cardio and resistance training 3-4 times per week, and prioritizes sleep hygiene by eliminating alcohol. He identifies “Connection” as his weakest pillar but is actively working on relationship building.

His supplement strategy is highly skeptical. He utilizes a small stack including Omega-3, Vitamin D, Calcium Alpha-Ketoglutarate (Ca-AKG), Methylfolate, Lithium Orotate, and Creatine. He explicitly rejects popular “hype” supplements such as NAD+ precursors, Resveratrol, and general antioxidants, citing a lack of compelling clinical data or potential counter-productivity.

On the pharmaceutical front, he employs a preventative, risk-reward approach. He utilizes Testosterone Replacement Therapy (TRT) for quality of life and Rapamycin (cyclic dosing) for longevity/geroprotection. Notably, he uses SGLT2 inhibitors (Jardiance) and PCSK9 inhibitors (Repatha) for metabolic and cardiovascular prophylaxis, arguing that SGLT2s have superior longevity data (in mice) compared to Metformin, which he has discarded. He advocates for finding physicians willing to engage in proactive, preventative risk assessment rather than reactive disease management.


B. Bullet Summary

  • Hierarchy of Health: Lifestyle modifications (diet, exercise, sleep) are the primary drivers of healthspan; supplements are mostly incremental or “noise.”
  • Nutritional Rule #1: Religiously read labels to avoid added sugars; prioritize fiber (e.g., keto bread) and high-quality protein (salmon, poultry).
  • Training Volume: Daily activity is non-negotiable. 30 minutes of Zone 2 cardio daily, plus resistance training 3-4 times per week focusing on compound movements.
  • Alcohol Elimination: Alcohol is identified as a primary disruptor of sleep quality; removing it is a high-yield intervention.
  • Supplement Skepticism: The supplement industry is described as “dishonest and deceptive.” Third-party testing (e.g., ConsumerLab) is essential for purity.
  • Creatine Utility: Recommended for everyone (5g/day) for muscle mass preservation and potential cognitive benefits (buffering energetic stress in the brain).
  • Lithium for Brain Health: Low-dose Lithium Orotate (5mg) is added based on epidemiological data linking trace lithium to reduced Alzheimer’s risk.
  • SGLT2 over Metformin: Metformin is dismissed for longevity in healthy individuals due to failure in the Interventions Testing Program (ITP); SGLT2 inhibitors (Jardiance) are preferred for their lifespan extension data in mice.
  • Lipid Management: Soft plaque detection prompted the use of Repatha (PCSK9 inhibitor) to aggressively lower ApoB, superior to statins for this specific profile.
  • Rapamycin Protocol: Adheres to a cyclic protocol (e.g., 8mg/week for 3 months on, followed by a washout period) to mitigate immune risks while targeting sterile inflammation.
  • Testosterone Micro-dosing: Switched from weekly to daily TRT injections (6 days/week) to mitigate hematocrit spikes and stabilize serum levels.
  • GLP-1/GIP Agonists: Experimented with low-dose Tirzepatide (Zepbound/Mounjaro); noted appetite suppression and weight loss but discontinued to assess baseline.
  • Preventative Cardiology: Standard lipid panels are insufficient; specifically measure ApoB and utilize coronary CT angiograms with contrast to detect soft plaque.

D. Claims & Evidence Table

Claim Evidence Cited Assessment
Alcohol disrupts sleep quality. Personal biometrics (wearables) and observations of patients/clients. Strong (Supported by broad consensus and sleep architecture data).
SGLT2 inhibitors (e.g., Canagliflozin) extend lifespan. Murine studies from the Interventions Testing Program (ITP). Strong (in mice); Speculative but plausible for human longevity.
Metformin is NOT a longevity drug for healthy individuals. Failure to extend lifespan in ITP mouse studies; lack of human data outside of diabetics. Strong (Contradicts the TAME trial hypothesis but aligns with rigorous animal data).
Creatine benefits brain health. Emerging evidence on energetic buffering during cognitive stress/sleep deprivation. Speculative/Promising (Plausible mechanism, clinical data still maturing).
Lithium Orotate reduces Alzheimer’s risk. Epidemiological correlation (water supply) and recent biochemical papers (e.g., Bruce Yankner’s lab). Speculative (Strong correlation, mechanism identified, but lacks RCTs).
Ca-AKG reduces biological age/frailty. Mouse studies (frailty reduction) and anecdotal exercise tolerance (Brian Kennedy). Mixed (Good for healthspan/frailty in mice; lifespan data is weak).
Tadalafil lowers all-cause mortality. UK Biobank data analysis. Strong Association (Correlation exists, likely due to circulatory/cardiovascular benefits).

E. Actionable Insights

  1. Stop “Hacking” & Start “Stacking” Pillars: Focus 90% of effort on Eat, Move, Sleep, and Connect. Do not rely on supplements to fix lifestyle deficits.
  2. Eliminate Added Sugars: Scrutinize nutrition labels. If it has added sugar, do not bring it into the house.
  3. Monitor ApoB, Not Just LDL: Request ApoB testing in your quarterly blood panels for a true measure of atherogenic particle burden.
  4. Consider Coronary CT Angiogram: If over 40, consider a scan to detect soft plaque, which traditional calcification scans (CAC) miss.
  5. Micro-dose Creatine: Take 5g of Creatine Monohydrate daily, regardless of whether you lift weights, for potential neuroprotective effects.
  6. Zone 2 is Daily Hygiene: Treat 30 minutes of low-intensity cardio (Zone 2) as a daily requirement, similar to brushing teeth.
  7. Optimize TRT Frequency: If on Testosterone Replacement Therapy, consider daily or every-other-day micro-dosing to prevent hematocrit spikes and estrogenic side effects.
  8. Evaluate SGLT2 Inhibitors: Discuss SGLT2 inhibitors (like Empagliflozin) with your doctor for glucose management and potential geroprotection instead of Metformin.
  9. Check Supplement Purity: Use services like ConsumerLab.com to verify that your supplements do not contain heavy metals or impurities.
  10. Cycle Rapamycin: If using Rapamycin off-label, consider a cyclic approach (e.g., 3 months on, 3 months off) to balance mTOR inhibition with immune function.

H. Technical Deep-Dive

1. SGLT2 Inhibitors vs. Metformin (Geroprotection Mechanisms)
The speaker prioritizes Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors (e.g., Empagliflozin, Canagliflozin) over Metformin.

  • Mechanism: SGLT2 inhibitors block glucose reabsorption in the proximal tubule of the kidney, inducing glycosuria (excretion of glucose in urine) and natriuresis. This lowers plasma glucose and insulin levels independent of insulin secretion.
  • Longevity Data: The Interventions Testing Program (ITP) demonstrated that Canagliflozin extends median lifespan in male mice significantly. Conversely, Metformin failed to consistently extend lifespan in ITP heterogenous mouse cohorts, suggesting its “anti-aging” reputation may be an artifact of treating metabolic dysfunction rather than slowing fundamental aging.

2. Lithium Orotate & Neuroprotection

  • Mechanism: Lithium is a potent inhibitor of Glycogen Synthase Kinase-3 beta (GSK-3β). Hyperactive GSK-3β is implicated in the hyperphosphorylation of Tau protein (leading to neurofibrillary tangles in Alzheimer’s) and the production of amyloid-beta.
  • Dosing: The speaker uses 5mg (micro-dose) compared to psychiatric doses (900mg+). The hypothesis is that chronic, low-grade inhibition of GSK-3β via trace lithium mimics the epidemiological benefits seen in populations with naturally high lithium water content.

3. PCSK9 Inhibition (Repatha)

  • Mechanism: Proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) binds to LDL receptors (LDLR) on hepatocytes, promoting their lysosomal degradation. By inhibiting PCSK9, Repatha increases the recycling of LDLRs to the cell surface, drastically increasing the clearance of LDL particles (and thus ApoB) from the bloodstream. This is a more targeted and potent mechanism for lowering atherogenic burden than HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors (statins).

I. Fact-Check Important Claims

Claim: “Metformin extends lifespan in diabetics but not non-diabetics.”

  • Status: Contested/Likely Accurate.
  • Analysis: The original Bannister et al. (2014) study suggested diabetics on Metformin lived longer than non-diabetics. However, subsequent analyses have suggested this was due to selection bias (immortal time bias) and rigorous controls do not show lifespan extension in healthy subjects. The ITP data in mice supports the speaker’s skepticism regarding Metformin as a general geroprotector.

Claim: “Creatine has cognitive benefits beyond muscle.”

  • Status: Supported by Emerging Evidence.
  • Analysis: Systematic reviews indicate Creatine supplementation can improve short-term memory and intelligence/reasoning in healthy individuals, particularly under conditions of stress or sleep deprivation.
  • Reference: Avgerinos et al. (2018), Experimental Gerontology.

Claim: “Rapamycin extends lifespan in mice.”

  • Status: Consensus Fact.
  • Analysis: Rapamycin is the most robust pharmacological intervention for lifespan extension in mice, reproducible across multiple sites (ITP), strains, and genders. It functions via inhibition of mTORC1 (mechanistic target of rapamycin complex 1), a central regulator of cell growth and metabolism.
5 Likes

Whether or not it has any protection from Alzheimer’s (it probably does), it certainly raised the anger threshold in me, and that in and of itself is a benefit for me. Anger reliably raises both cortisol and blood pressure. So, low-dose lithium could extend the lifespan of some people.

Repeated blood pressure surges and higher BP variability track with higher mortality

Even when a person’s average BP isn’t terrible, greater variability (big ups/downs across visits, days, or home readings) is associated with higher risk of stroke, coronary disease, and all-cause mortality in meta-analyses and large cohorts.

Ref1

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Matt talks about this forum just after the 50 minute mark in this video :+1:

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Preventive Failure: How Modern Healthcare Misses Disease Early

Gemini AI Video Summary and Analysis:

Here is the summary and analysis of the provided transcript.

Optispan Podcast: The Clinical Reality of Healthspan Medicine

Host: Matt Kaeberlein | Guest: Dr. Nikki Byrne (Clinical Director, Optispan)

A. Executive Summary

This conversation explores the operational definition of “Healthspan Medicine” as distinct from traditional “reactive disease care.” Dr. Nikki Byrne argues that the standard medical model is fundamentally misaligned with longevity; it allocates resources to crisis management (e.g., stroke rehabilitation) rather than upstream prevention. A central thesis is that “reference range” does not equal “optimal.” The discussion highlights that standard primary care often misses early pathology—such as insulin resistance or carotid plaque—because it relies on lagging indicators like A1C or basic lipid panels.

The Optispan model, as detailed by Byrne, utilizes a “Gateway Day” involving comprehensive diagnostics: advanced blood panels (ApoB, fasting insulin), Point of Care Ultrasound (POCUS), DEXA scans for visceral fat, genetic screening (APOE, MTHFR), and functional movement assessments. The dialogue emphasizes that granular data allows for precise pharmacological and lifestyle interventions. Byrne defends the use of off-label pharmacotherapies for prevention in high-risk but “clinically normal” phenotypes, including GLP-1 agonists for visceral fat reduction in non-obese patients, SGLT2 inhibitors for glucose modulation, and PCSK9 inhibitors for aggressive lipid lowering. The conversation concludes with a critique of the longevity industry’s extremes—specifically dangerous hormone protocols for the elderly—while advocating for a data-driven, patient-autonomous approach to extending healthspan.


B. Bullet Summary

  • The Reactive Trap: The current healthcare system offers minimal interaction (one visit/year) until a catastrophic event occurs, at which point resources become unlimited but often too late to reverse decline.
  • Reference Range vs. Optimal: A patient can have “normal” LDL and A1C but still possess significant carotid plaque and insulin resistance; standard reference ranges are population averages, not health targets.
  • Insulin as a Sentinel: Fasting insulin is a superior early warning marker compared to Hemoglobin A1C. A1C is a lagging indicator; the body can compensate with hyperinsulinemia for years before blood glucose rises.
  • Visceral Adiposity (TOFI): “Thin Outside, Fat Inside” is a critical phenotype. Individuals with normal BMI but high visceral fat (detected via DEXA) are at high metabolic risk.
  • The Utility of GLP-1s: Byrne utilizes GLP-1 agonists (e.g., Tirzepatide) not just for obesity, but to specifically target visceral fat and inflammation in metabolically unhealthy normal-weight individuals.
  • SGLT2 Inhibitors for Longevity: These diabetes drugs (e.g., Empagliflozin) are used off-label for pre-diabetes and potential lifespan extension, citing animal data (ITP) and kidney/CV protection in humans.
  • Aggressive Lipid Management: When statins are insufficient or untolerated, PCSK9 inhibitors (Repatha) are used to crush ApoB/LDL levels to prevent plaque accumulation, even in primary prevention contexts.
  • Diagnostic Imaging: Point of Care Ultrasound (POCUS) is essential for screening thyroid nodules, fatty liver, and carotid intimal thickness, identifying risks missed by blood work.
  • Oral-Systemic Link: Intraoral scanning is included because periodontal inflammation is strongly correlated with cardiovascular disease and dementia risk.
  • Sleep Quality over Quantity: Using tracking (Oura), the focus shifts to deep and REM sleep duration rather than just time in bed; alcohol is identified as a primary disruptor of sleep architecture.
  • Rapamycin Protocol: Used cyclically (e.g., weekly) for longevity. The clinical view is that the risk profile at low doses is minimal compared to the potential upside for immune and geroprotective effects.
  • Creatine Utility: Recommended for men and women (especially post-menopausal) for muscle maintenance and emerging evidence of cognitive support.
  • Patient Autonomy: The clinic supports patient experimentation (e.g., specific peptides) if the safety profile is acceptable, prioritizing the therapeutic alliance over paternalism.

C. Technical Deep-Dive

1. Insulin Resistance & Hyperinsulinemia

Byrne highlights the discrepancy between A1C and Fasting Insulin. Mechanistically, insulin resistance manifests as the downregulation of insulin receptors or defects in the PI3K/AKT signaling pathway in peripheral tissues (muscle, adipose).

  • The Lag: To maintain euglycemia (normal blood sugar), pancreatic -cells undergo hypertrophy and hyper-secrete insulin (compensatory hyperinsulinemia).
  • Clinical Consequence: Standard care measures glucose/A1C, which only elevate after -cell compensation fails. Measuring fasting insulin identifies the metabolic dysfunction years prior to Type 2 Diabetes diagnosis.

2. PCSK9 Inhibition (Repatha)

The podcast discusses using Repatha for patients with high Lp(a) or resistant LDL.

  • Mechanism: Proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) binds to LDL receptors (LDLR) on the hepatocyte surface, promoting their lysosomal degradation.
  • Intervention: Monoclonal antibodies (Evolocumab) bind PCSK9, preventing it from binding LDLR. This increases LDLR recycling to the cell surface, enhancing the clearance of LDL-C from the plasma.

D. Claims & Evidence Table (Adversarial Peer Review)

Role: Longevity Scientist / Peer Reviewer.
Standard: Strict evidence hierarchy.

Claim from Video Speaker’s Evidence Scientific Reality (Best Available Data) Evidence Grade Verdict
“Fasting insulin is superior to A1C for early detection.” Clinical observation of normal A1C in insulin-resistant patients. Supported. The Kraft patterns demonstrate hyperinsulinemia precedes hyperglycemia by years. (Crofts et al., Diabesity, 2016). B/C Strong Support
“Oral health (gum inflammation) correlates with heart disease/dementia.” Mention of emerging data. Supported (Correlation). High-quality cohort studies link periodontitis to atherosclerotic CVD and Alzheimer’s. Causation via systemic inflammation is the leading hypothesis. (Hastings et al., Alzheimers Dement, 2021). C Plausible
“GLP-1s reduce visceral fat in non-obese (‘skinny fat’) people.” Clinical practice/observation. Translational Gap. Strong data exists for obese populations (SURMOUNT/STEP trials). Data for lean individuals with visceral adiposity is mechanistically sound but lacks specific RCTs. E Speculative (in this population)
“SGLT2 inhibitors (Jardiance) increase longevity.” Cites mouse data; human kidney/CV benefits. Mixed. NIA ITP confirmed lifespan extension in male mice (Miller et al., 2020). Human data shows reduced CV mortality and renal decline (EMPA-REG), but “aging” reversal is unproven in humans. D (Mice) / A (CV Mortality) Plausible (for CV protection)
“Low-dose Lithium (Orotate) is safe/beneficial.” Cites Nature paper; groundwater studies. Speculative. Microdose lithium (1-5mg) is likely safe (unlike psychiatric doses). Longevity benefits are based on epidemiological groundwater correlations and worm/fly studies. Human RCTs for aging are absent. C/D Experimental
“Topical Rapamycin reverses skin aging.” Cites pilot study. Emerging. A small RCT (Chung et al., 2019) showed reduced p16INK4a (senescence marker) and improved collagen. Sample size was small (n=36). B (Small RCT) Plausible
“Gallery Test false positive rate is 50%.” Cites general stats/NYT article. Accurate. In the PATHFINDER study, the Positive Predictive Value (PPV) was approximately 38-43%. A positive result is more likely to be false than true in asymptomatic screening. B Factually Correct
“Hormones of a 25-year-old in an 80-year-old are dangerous.” Clinical judgment/physiology. Consensus Support. High-dose systemic HRT in elderly women well past menopause is linked to increased risk of stroke/VTE (WHI re-analysis). A Strong Support

E. Actionable Insights (Pragmatic & Prioritized)

Top Tier (High Confidence / Standard of Care +)

  1. Diagnostic Upgrade: Do not settle for a standard lipid panel. Demand ApoB and Lp(a) testing once to assess genetic risk.
  2. Metabolic Sentinel: Measure Fasting Insulin alongside glucose. If A1C is normal but Insulin is >5-7 uIU/mL, intervene immediately.
  3. Visceral Fat Check: BMI is insufficient. Use DEXA to identify visceral adipose tissue (VAT). Even if thin, high VAT requires lifestyle or pharmacological intervention.
  4. Periodontal Care: Treat flossing and dental hygiene as cardiovascular prevention.
  5. Sleep Hygiene: Eliminate alcohol within 3-4 hours of bed. Prioritize deep sleep windows (early night) by maintaining consistent bedtimes.

Experimental / Optimization (Risk/Reward Managed)

  1. Creatine Monohydrate (5g/day): Low downside. Benefits muscle preservation and likely cognitive function, particularly during sleep deprivation or menopause.
  2. SGLT2 Inhibitors (e.g., Empagliflozin): Consider off-label use for pre-diabetes or longevity if renal function allows, monitoring for UTIs and hypotension.
  3. GLP-1 Agonists (Low Dose): For “TOFI” (Thin Outside Fat Inside) phenotypes, consider low-dose intervention to strip visceral fat, even if not clinically obese.
  4. Rapamycin (Cyclic): Weekly low-dose protocols (e.g., 6mg/week) for geroprotection. Strict Requirement: Must be done under physician supervision to monitor lipids, glucose, and immune function.

Avoid

  • “25-Year-Old Hormones” after 65: Avoid aggressive, high-dose hormone replacement therapies that aim to mimic youth levels in elderly physiology, specifically regarding estrogen/progesterone in women decades past menopause due to stroke/clotting risk.

I. Fact-Check: Important Claims

Claim: “A patient had a normal lipid panel but significant plaque on ultrasound.”

  • Verification: This highlights the discordance between LDL-C and atherosclerotic risk. Approximately 50% of heart attacks occur in people with “normal” LDL levels. Plaque burden (measured by CCTA or Ultrasound) is the direct disease substrate, whereas LDL is a probabilistic risk factor.
  • Correction: None needed. This aligns with current cardiology consensus moving toward imaging-guided prevention (SCCT guidelines).

Claim: “Magnesium helps with sleep and bowel function.”

  • Verification: Magnesium Glycinate or Threonate is often used for sleep/anxiety, while Magnesium Citrate/Oxide is osmotic and aids bowel movement.
  • Nuance: The transcript doesn’t specify the form, but the physiological claim is accurate depending on the chelation used.

Claim: “Oura ring detects sleep staging accuracy.”

  • Verification: While Oura and other wearables are excellent for patterns and duration, their accuracy in distinguishing specific sleep stages (REM vs. Deep) compared to Polysomnography (PSG) is generally 60-65%.
  • Context: Dr. Byrne correctly notes they use it for “pattern recognition” rather than medical diagnosis, acknowledging the limitations.
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