TPE long-term effects in healthy elderly same as sham

Many including myself had high hopes on Therapeutic Plasma Exchange for longevity effects in healthy elderly. For me, the hopes have faded. Talking to the TPE staff from Kiprov´s clinic at the Berkeley event made me reread the key 2025 paper on TPE in Aging Cell. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/acel.70103

Buried in the text and severely downplayed is the striking main negative result: “Surprisingly, we observed no significant BA (biological age) differences at time point 3 (the end of the trial) compared to sham in any group, suggesting potential compensatory mechanisms that mitigate the anti-aging effects after multiple sessions”

The only other reference to this surely huge disappointment is “Given the attenuated effect at time point 3, we wondered if it was dependent on the effects observed at the previous session (time point 2), which could indicate a potential compensatory mechanism”. and “Overall, these results indicate that individuals with TPE had most of the rejuvenation effects between the first two collection points”

So the rejuvenation effects were cancelled by time point 3, the end of the trial.

There was no mention of this in the discussion. Those supportive of TPE sail on as if nothing has happened. For mice and people with Alzheimer it may be different, but for healthy elderly TPE is to my understanding very doubtful.

I asked perplexity pro to comment para 2 and 3 above. The answer:

“Your reading of the paper is accurate, and that “hidden” negative result at time point 3 is the most important cautionary signal in the whole trial.

What the paper actually shows

The Aging Cell trial randomized 42 adults over 50 to sham, TPE (Therapeutic Plasma Exchange, various schedules), or TPE+IVIG (intravenous immunoglobulin), and measured biological age with multiple epigenetic and multi‑omic clocks over three time points.

  • At time point 2 (roughly mid‑trial, after several sessions), many clocks showed clear “rejuvenation” vs sham, strongest in the biweekly TPE+IVIG arm, with average BA (Biological Age) reductions on the order of 2.6 years vs placebo in that group.

  • By time point 3 (end of the intervention protocol), those between‑group differences were no longer statistically significant for any group: the authors explicitly state that there were no significant BA differences vs sham at that final time point.

So the true pattern is: early, fairly robust BA improvements that then fade or are “caught up” by sham by the end of the protocol.

Why this matters scientifically

From a strict trial‑interpretation standpoint, the primary question is usually: “At the predefined primary endpoint, is there a difference vs sham?” Here, the answer is no. That means:

  • The paper does not support a claim that “6 months of long‑term TPE±IVIG durably lowers biological age vs sham,” because the primary endpoint shows no lasting between‑group separation.

  • The strongest positive statements one can make are time‑limited: “There was a transient mid‑course reduction in several biological age clocks, most pronounced in TPE+IVIG.”

The press releases and many secondary commentaries heavily emphasize the mid‑trial 2.6‑year BA reduction and under‑emphasize the loss of significance at the end. Even the Buck press release notes that the effects were “strongest after the initial three sessions” and that subsequent treatments showed diminishing returns, but does not highlight that the final time point lost significance vs placebo. That framing is understandable from a translational / fundraising viewpoint, but it is not the conservative clinical interpretation.

The “compensatory mechanism” idea

The authors’ phrase about “potential compensatory mechanisms” is basically a hypothesis to explain why:

  • Most of the apparent rejuvenation happens between baseline and time point 2.

  • Additional TPE sessions do not enlarge the gap and may even pull the clocks back toward baseline relative to sham.

It is also possible that what is being called “compensation” is partly:

  • Regression to the mean in clocks with substantial noise.

  • Small sample size and multiple comparisons (15+ clocks) inflating early significance.

  • Temporal dynamics: clocks may respond strongly to an acute systemic perturbation (change in plasma proteome, immune state, albumin redox, etc.) and then adapt back toward baseline as the organism re‑equilibrates.

The multi‑omics analysis suggests immune and inflammatory pathways shift in a “younger” direction after early TPE, particularly with IVIG, but that these signals are not linearly improved by just continuing the same intervention at the same intensity. That is consistent with many hormetic or homeostatic systems: the first pushes produce marked shifts, then buffers push the system back.

How this should change how we talk about TPE for aging

Putting it all together:

  • The trial is a valuable proof‑of‑mechanism that TPE (especially with IVIG) can transiently move certain biological age clocks and molecular networks in a younger direction in older adults.

  • It is not evidence that repeated TPE sessions over many months produce a sustained, clinically meaningful reduction in biological age compared with sham, because those differences vanish by the end of the protocol.

  • The loss of significance at time point 3 should be front‑and‑center in any responsible discussion and is more important than the mid‑trial peak effect.

For practice and protocol design, the more honest conclusion is something like: “TPE±IVIG produces a short‑term multi‑omic BA shift after the first few sessions, followed by diminishing and possibly vanishing returns; any future longevity protocol needs to rethink dose, spacing, and combination with other interventions rather than simply repeating the same recipe.”

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I think for the heterochronic parabosis to have discernable effects it needs to be chronic as well as heterochronic.

Yes - I agree with this analysis. I went through the six TPE sessions as part of the Kiprov clinical trial and by the end of it I thought I was on the “control” placebo arm of the trial, but I wasn’t. I saw no improvement in any metric. It may help some people, but I have no idea what group of people that would be.

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Can’t say I am surprised. Let me venture a guess that intravenous Vitamin C infusion won’t beat placebo for longevity as well.

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It may be harmful.

Super interesting. Again, I can’t say I’m particularly surprised.

I still do believe this could be useful in some settings, and I’m a strong believer in paracrine and circulating effects. But, while I’d love to believe it, I’ve always been sceptical that this is going to slow ageing in otherwise healthy people. End of the day, it’s still exogenous signalling factors, and I can’t see how that can plausibly influence the intracellular and tissue-level processes of ageing.

In an acute injury setting, this is definitely interesting though. IMO there is something related to immunity which goes on. Many years ago I was involved in a mouse parabiosis model where we induced an acute injury in one mouse, paired to a healthy mouse, and the injured mouse recovered way better. One of the most interesting findings was strong recruitment of immune cells from the healthy mouse to the injury site in the injured mouse. But of course, those are live cells and wouldn’t be transplated by any sort of plasma exchange.

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The handling of the trial is a cautionary lesson. The failure at the end of the trial is mentioned in passing in three sentences, while whole pages of text examine the modest midtrial results from every possible angle. Nobody to my knowledge has truthfully picked up on the failure. E.g. the Buck press release notes that the effects were “strongest after the initial three sessions” and that subsequent treatments showed diminishing returns, but does not show that the final time point lost significance vs placebo.

There is ore to this. The modest mid-trial results are likely due to the intravenous immunoglobulin, IVIG, not the plasma exchange. This was also buried. From the same paper. “This result was consistent with the exploratory analysis that TPE + IVIG, but not TPE alone, induces dramatic changes in immune cell composition …Given that these cell type changes are not observed in the TPE treatment, it is plausible that these effects are solely due to IVIG supplementation. However, it is possible that the supportive effects of IVIG in immunosenescence synergize or enhance the rejuvenation effects of TPE”

So we have no effects at the trial end point. And the mid-point effects are likely due to IVIG not plasma exchange.

With the caveat that it possibly could be beneficial for ill people idk, it is a sad indictment that TPE at least for healthy humans is not recognized as the failure that the trial indicates it is. Is it prestige, absence of critical thinking, resistance to changing course, pursuit of money, vested interests, not having read or not taken in the three damning sentences? Expensive treatments continue being made, with expansions being made to clinics in Europe.

One of the trial study’s authors, a researcher of high prestige from a reputable institute whom I hold in high regard in general, wrote "Our findings show that plasma exchange and intravenous immunoglobulin are a powerful tool for biological age rejuvenation and provide compelling evidence that targeted plasma interventions can impact age-related molecular changes”.

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I saw a recent paper about filtering microplastics which said that if people don’t have a lot of microplastics the shedding from the tubes used in the filtering process results in them having more microplastics at the end of the fitering process than when they started. Obviously it depends upon what the effects of microplastics are, but I would assume TPE provides a burden of microplastics as well.

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we actually see quite a few people improve their immune metrics on 4-6 rounds of TPE. but definitely not all. i presented case studies last fall and was just working on a slide for an upcoming podcast. sorry, hexagon does not have domain labels but you can look them up on our website.

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but i 100% agree, that publication shows absolutely nothing improved. was not impressed by the rigor

What are the immune metrics measured, and how much is the improvement in each metric?

saperex.com has all the answers

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All of the above, yes. And universities put out positive press releases to feed the hype cycle.

I’ve been there personally, published a study which attracted some media attention. I gave an interview to a couple of journalists who seemed very receptive. To my (naive) surprise, they hardly used any of my actual quotes, just a brief generic blah blah attributed to me, and they mostly quoted the university press office which was touting this as the breakthrough magical cure for everything.

So basically, yes, authors want to show positive results for their institutions, their funding agencies etc. Hence the “looking from every angle” and then burying the failure with 3 lines in the discussion. Really, it’s up to peer reviewers and journal editors to put a stop to that, but few do.

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I don’t think realistically this will change that much. If someone is reporting “news” it has to be “interesting” otherwise people won’t read it and they will not get paid.

That difficulty cannot really shift.

What is important is to have access to the original research so that a proper understanding is more available.

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nym. “We actually see quite a few people improve their immune metrics on 4-6 rounds of TPE. but definitely not all”

Buried in a couple of sentences in the 2025 paper on TPE in Aging Cell, it is shown that effects are likely caused by IVIG, not TPE. After 6 rounds there was no effect.

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