Separating the Wheat from the Chaff in Research Papers…
I’ve been talking with some researchers about how to best identify “good” research papers vs. less good research papers (or at least a way to prioritize papers for review and in-depth analysis).
In my discussions I’ve had the suggestion that I should look at the first author’s publishing history (in terms of high ranking papers/journals previously), and the publishing history of the lab he / she came out of for his / her PHD)… e.g. publishing papers in high ranked journals, and then do the same for the last author.
Here is the prompt I’ve roughed out for now - I’d appreciate feedback from others here who are familiar with judging the reputation / quality of research papers. The issue is there are tons of papers published each month and there is the question on which ones to cover here in the forum. This prompt would help guide me. All feedback welcome
@adssx @jnorm @Davin8r @McAlister @cl-user @DrFraser @John_Hemming
Here is the first draft:
To effectively evaluate the signal-to-noise ratio of a scientific paper, you need a prompt that forces a comprehensive bibliometric and pedigree audit. The following prompt is designed to be fed into an AI with web-browsing capabilities (like ChatGPT, Claude, or Perplexity) to extract specific data regarding author credibility and lab lineage.
The Pedigree & Credibility Audit Prompt
Copy and paste the text below. Replace the bracketed placeholders [ ] with the specific details of the paper you are analyzing.
**Role:** Bibliometric Analyst and Scientific Reviewer.
**Task:** Conduct a credibility and pedigree audit of the following scientific paper.
**Paper Title:** [INSERT TITLE]
**DOI/Link:** [INSERT DOI OR LINK]
**Instructions:**
Execute a structured search to answer the four core queries below. For "High Impact," prioritize journals with an Impact Factor (IF) > 10 (e.g., Nature, Cell, Science, NEJM, The Lancet, Nature Aging, Cell Metabolism). Distinguish between verified facts and inferred data.
**1. First Author Analysis ([INSERT FIRST AUTHOR NAME])**
* **Publication History:** Search the author's Google Scholar or ResearchGate profile. Have they published as *First Author* or *Corresponding Author* in a High Impact journal prior to this paper? List specific citations.
* **Impact Assessment:** If no high-impact history exists, note the highest IF journal they have previously published in.
**2. First Author Pedigree (PhD Origin)**
* **Lineage:** Identify the laboratory and university where the First Author completed their PhD. Who was their Primary Investigator (PI)/Supervisor?
* **Lab Identity:** [Insert Name of PI if known, otherwise instruct AI to find it].
**3. Origin Lab Track Record (The PhD Lab)**
* **Lab Output:** Analyze the publication history of the First Author's PhD laboratory (the PI identified above) over the *last 10 years*.
* **High Impact Volume:** Estimate the volume of papers published by this specific lab in High Impact journals (IF > 10) during this decade.
* **Consistency:** Is this lab a consistent producer of top-tier research, or is high-impact output an anomaly?
**4. Last Author Analysis ([INSERT LAST AUTHOR NAME])**
* **Seniority & consistency:** The Last Author is typically the Senior Investigator. Search their publication record for the last 10 years.
* **High Impact Volume:** How many papers has this author published in High Impact journals in the last decade?
* **Reputation Check:** Check for any retractions or significant corrections associated with this author in the Retraction Watch database.
**Output Format:**
Present findings in a concise Markup table followed by a summary of "Credibility Signals" (Green Flags) and "Risk Factors" (Red Flags).
Rationale and Interpretation Guide
The prompt above is structured to bypass general summaries and target specific proxies for scientific rigor. Here is the breakdown of why these metrics matter in the context of Biotech and Longevity due diligence.
1. First Author Track Record
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Why it matters: In biomedicine, the first author does the heavy lifting (bench work, data analysis). If this is their first high-impact paper, it is a “breakout” moment, but it lacks a track record of reliability.
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The Signal: Previous high-impact publications suggest the author has successfully navigated rigorous peer review before.
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The Gap: A lack of history does not invalidate the science, but it shifts the burden of credibility to the Senior (Last) Author.
2. PhD Pedigree (The “Training Environment”)
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Why it matters: Scientific training is an apprenticeship. A researcher trained in a lab known for rigorous methodology (e.g., a the lab of a Nobel laureate or a highly cited aging researcher like David Sinclair, Cynthia Kenyon, or George Church) is statistically more likely to adhere to high standards of reproducibility.
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The Signal: “Top-tier” labs often have better funding and access to superior equipment, reducing technical error rates.
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The Risk: “Paper mills” exist. High output from a specific institution without corresponding citation impact can be a red flag.
3. Lab Consistency (The “One-Hit Wonder” Filter)
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Why it matters: You requested the history of the origin lab. If a lab has published one Nature paper in 10 years, that paper might be an outlier or the result of luck/statistical noise.
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The Signal: Consistent high-impact publishing indicates a systemic ability to identify significant problems and solve them convincingly. It suggests a culture of excellence.
4. Last Author (The Guarantor)
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Why it matters: The Last Author provides the funding and the hypothesis. They are the guarantor of the work’s integrity.
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The Signal: A Last Author with dozens of high-impact papers has a reputation to protect, theoretically incentivizing them to vet the First Author’s data more ruthlessly.
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The Debate: There is a counter-argument that “Super PIs” (Principal Investigators) with massive output are too detached from the raw data to spot fabrication. However, in terms of pedigree, high volume in high-impact journals remains the standard proxy for authority.
Advanced Due Diligence (Optional Layers)
If you need deeper scrutiny for investment or replication purposes, consider adding these two lines to the prompt:
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Conflict of Interest Scan: “Identify any patents held by the authors related to the paper’s subject matter and check the ‘Conflict of Interest’ section for equity holdings in biotech startups.”
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Replication Check: “Search for citations of this paper (or previous papers by the lab) that explicitly mention ‘failure to replicate’ or ‘reproducibility issues’.”