That guy seems to be cherry picking the data.
I asked ChatGPT5.1 about what the overall data looks like on sodium intake and all cause risk of mortality and here is what it suggested:
ChatGPT5.1 Response:
Short version: It’s a clear J-shaped (sometimes U-shaped) curve.
Here’s what the all-cause mortality vs. sodium intake relationship looks like based on the best large-scale human data (PURE, CDC NHANES re-analyses, multiple meta-analyses):
What the Sodium–Mortality Curve Looks Like
Shape:
J-shaped
- Mortality is elevated at very low sodium intake (< ~2 g/day sodium ≈ <5 g/day salt).
- Lowest mortality is at moderate intake (~3–5 g/day sodium ≈ 7.5–12.5 g/day salt).
- Mortality rises again at high intake (> ~5–6 g/day sodium ≈ >12.5–15 g/day salt).
This pattern holds across most populations, but the left side (very low sodium) is consistently associated with higher all-cause mortality, largely due to increased cardiovascular events, hormonal activation (RAAS, sympathetic activation), and confounding from illness-induced low intake.
Approximate Shape in Words
If you plotted sodium intake (x-axis) vs. all-cause mortality risk (y-axis) , it would look like this:
- Left arm rises steeply as you go below ~2 g/day (≈5 g salt).
- Bottom trough is wide and shallow from ~3–5 g/day.
- Right arm rises more gradually above ~6 g/day but begins climbing.
Typical Numeric Inflection Points (from major cohort data)
| Sodium intake (g/day) | Approx. Risk Pattern |
|---|---|
| < 2 g/day | ↑↑ mortality (RAAS activation, frailty, confounding illness) |
| 2–3 g/day | Slightly elevated risk vs. optimal |
| 3–5 g/day | Lowest all-cause mortality |
| 5–6+ g/day | Gradual rise in mortality (mainly stroke/CVD) |
| >7 g/day | Clear increase in stroke & CVD mortality |
Why the curve is J-shaped rather than linear
Left side: Too little sodium
- Chronic low sodium stimulates renin, aldosterone, norepinephrine, and angiotensin II, all linked to CVD mortality.
- Very low intake common in people with chronic illness, frailty, or reduced appetite, creating reverse causation.
- Hyponatremia strongly predicts mortality.
Right side: Too much sodium
- Direct link to stroke, hypertension, and left ventricular hypertrophy, especially in salt-sensitive populations.
Key Scientific References (All Clickable Links)
1. PURE Study – NEJM (2014) – J-shaped sodium–mortality curve
“Urinary Sodium and Potassium Excretion, Mortality, and Cardiovascular Events”
New England Journal of Medicine
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1311889
This is the most influential dataset. Shows clear higher mortality below 2 g/day and above ~5–6 g/day sodium.
2. Trials of Hypertension Prevention – JACC (2016)
“Sodium Intake and All-Cause Mortality Over 20 Years in the Trials of Hypertension Prevention”
Journal of the American College of Cardiology
https://www.jacc.org/doi/10.1016/j.jacc.2016.07.745
Finds higher long-term mortality at high sodium intakes; also supports non-linear associations.
3. Messerli et al., 2020 – Sodium Intake & Mortality / Life Expectancy
“Salt intake, life expectancy, and all-cause mortality”
Published in Journal of the American College of Cardiology: Case Reports
Sodium intake, life expectancy, and all-cause mortality - PMC
Shows inverse correlation between sodium intake and mortality at the population level — consistent with the left arm of the J-curve.
4. European Heart Journal — Review of the Non-Linear Relationship
“Dietary sodium and mortality: how much do we really know?”
European Heart Journal
https://academic.oup.com/eurheartj/article/42/21/2113/6067611
Confirms the J-shaped pattern is consistent across datasets and discusses methodological factors.
5. Mente et al., Lancet 2018 – Sodium Intake & Clinical Outcomes
“Associations of urinary sodium excretion with cardiovascular events in individuals with and without hypertension”
The Lancet
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(18)31376-X/fulltext
Shows that high sodium mainly harms hypertensive individuals, but low sodium harms everyone.
Overall Interpretation
Every high-quality cohort agrees:
- Very low sodium (<2 g/day) is not protective; it is associated with higher mortality, driven by RAAS activation, sympathetic tone, frailty, and measurement confounding.
- Moderate intake (~3–5 g/day) is the safest range .
- High sodium (>5–6 g/day) increases mortality, mainly through BP elevation, endothelial dysfunction, LV hypertrophy, and stroke risk.
This produces the classic J-curve.




