A leading thinker in the field of aging research, Dr. David Sinclair, shares insights on the rapid pace of advancements in aging research and predicts the availability of age-reversing pills within the next 10 years.
According to Dr. Sinclair, a gene therapy based on partial cellular reprogramming, which still has not become widely available for humans, could cost around $2 million. In contrast to the high cost of the gene therapy method, Dr. Sinclair said that when pills become available, which will mimic the effects of the gene therapy and induce Yamanaka factor gene expression, they will cost a mere $100 for a month’s supply. This means huge savings in gaining access to tissue-rejuvenating technology in pill form.
As for tissue-rejuvenating pills, preclinical research has shown that four weeks of treatment with the molecules these pills would contain made mice physically and behaviorally younger. Moreover, the cocktail of molecules significantly lowered the mice’s biological age (an age assessment based on how well organs and tissues function). If these findings apply to humans, which will require human trials to measure, it may only be a matter of time before people start reaping the rejuvenating benefits of these molecules in pill form.
By 2035 we might be assembling Von Neumann probes and traveling into space, AI improvement is insane and a hyperexponential…
Having a o4-mini level model on your computer running today makes you see things… that people wouldn’t believe, attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion…
OpenAI has a more powerful model than GPT-5 in-house and they’re training a new one. By GPT-8 Sam Altman expects they’d be able to ask it how to cure a certain disease, it’d ask for certain experiments to be run for a few months and the data returned back to it, and then it would go to mouse and ultimately human trials.
Green shaded line is exponential, with longer time-horizon they can do self-improvement which could lead to a intelligence explosion. I’m not expecting this to happen at these specific dates, but it could, why I said might.
By year xyz w’ll be able to blah, blah, blah. Stuff like that would excite me, when I was a teenager. I would eagerly devour magazines like Omni, Future and the like. The magazines are defunct, I’ve grown up and I’ve long since become wise to clickbait content mill stuff that sells magazines, eyeballs and attention since the dawn of printing.
These pie in the sky predictions never come true or if they do, they do so on their own schedule and looking rather different and in a different context.
So when I see some bloke, I really don’t care who, spout off some future predicting nonsense, I skip right over it, as the only thing it does is waste your time.
David Sinclair is trying to stay relevant and visible to better hoodwink his audience with the next scam. Bye, Felicia!
Alert me when you’re holding that thing in your hand, that I can have access to NOW, not in 10 years, 10 days, or “tomorrow” - NOW. Otherwise don’t waste my time.
This is all predicated on the information theory of aging being right. SOX2 (one of the yamanka factors) is a nuclear factor that encourages autophagy in part by reducing the expression of mTOR. Alternatively mTOR could be inhibited …
As soon as a scientist attaches a paycheck to something he’s touting (Resveratrol, NMN in Sinclairs case) their credibility goes out the window for me.
