My Year of Aging Dangerously: How old is too old to rejuvenate?

Yes, there is that view. That way of conceiving the process of aging is not supported very well. Evidence against it is abundant. Progeria - not exactly “wear and tear” or multiple systems somehow unluckily failing simultaneously and at roughly the same speed. Looking at that phenotype, it has the classic hallmarks of aging, except in an accelerated timeframe. You can see it in all the tissues. At the other end, you can see certain sea creatures, including some crustaceans that seem not age, and examining the tissues you don’t detect hallmarks of aging. In some there is process in juxtaposition - growth. They keep growing. This way they avoid the usual path of growth-maturity-decline-death, because they’re permanently stuck in the first phase, growth, thus skipping the aging process. They do die eventually, victims of predation, but also eventual failure of moulding as they become too big for the moulding process to complete in time - but they die without their tissues showing hallmarks of aging.

The genetic engineering to prevent cancer or heart disease is interesting. It sure could extend average lifespan, but it’s hard to argue that it’s slowing aging. It’s curing a disease, and yes, it would prolong the life of those individuals who would otherwise die of cancer or CVD prematurely. On a population level you gain a handful of years. In some species it might be a goodly amount - most lab mice die of cancer. Preventing cancer gets them a few months, decent percentage of lifespan extension. But that’s not slowing aging. Look at the sister species that escaped the usual size-lifespan rule, the naked molerat. That animal can live in excess of thirty years. No amount of disease curing or prevention is going to get a mouse within a galaxy of that kind of lifespan.

Anyhow, it’s pretty clear that we need to do similar genetic engineering for ourselves that nature has evolved for the naked molerat - ten times our current max lifespan, some 1000-1200 years, I’ll take it! Sadly not in our lifetimes.

You are being pessimistic. I am of a generation that had no TVs, computers, and only one available antibiotic (penicillin) when I was born. I have witnessed the exponential growth of all sciences. Now with the advent of AI (hoping it doesn’t kill your generation), things will speed up even faster. My guess is that anyone under ~60 years old can look forward to being at least 100 years old.

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Absolutely. Which is why I’m a huge advocate for polypharmacy (carefully curated), to the outraged protestations of the lifestyle-optimising-drug-avoiding naturalist purists who seem content to live only as long as nature happened to randomly evolve for our species. Look at metformin by itself which does nothing much for lifespan in the ITP, but synergises with rapa to positive effect. I think there are likely better drugs than metformin which address the same pathways, but it illustrates the principle.

Re: CE, you are underestimating the scientific evidence here :smile:. There is abundant evidence that cold temperatures extend the lifespans of animals in those environments. I don’t want to get into it here, because it’s a whole other universe of data… that’s one of the biggest losses in the demise of the CR Society website - there was a ton of research gathered on CE in one place. A unique resource.

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You are being overly optimistic😂. When the first airplane flew, and then the atomic energy was harnessed people thought the Jetsons were just around the corner. No dice.

I’m almost your age and have a very different recollection of technological and scientific progress. It progresses by cycles. Big breakthrough, but then a period of consolidation and stagnation until the next leap. And every time there was a leap, people thought that it was a steady rocket ride upward. But the breakthroughs showed their limitations very quickly. I have also been through these cycles. I have studied history. Yes, on a biological species timeline the technological explosion is extraordinarily rapid. But on an individual human lifespan scale, it’s rather slow and disappointing (because much better could be done if we put our resources to work consistently and intelligently).

Atomic power - we thought fusion was around the corner. Seventy years later, we still don’t have a working fusion reactor. Computers in the 50’s - cybernetics was an actual field with dreams of autonomous robots, still mostly a dream decades later. And AI is very old, starting with Minsky and his optimistic work in the 50’s. Still no AGI on the horizon, despite regular outbursts of optimism - do you remember when we thought Expert Systems of the 80’s meant AGI around the corner? All it resulted in is automated voicemail as the biggest impact. Today’s LLM based AI models are just souped up ES, laughably far from AGI - for true AGI you need a paradigm shift in approach, a real series of huge breakthroughs (which will surely come, just not soon).

When the DNA structure was described in the 60’s we thought all disease would be cured soon. LOL. Then came the biotech explosion of the 80’s and a cure for everything hope. LOL. Stem cell research and hopes of a glorious future. LOL. Then the human genome was sequenced, and again nirvana. That was quarter of a century ago. LOL. Now we have had CRISPR that gave us all a collective orgasm. It’s been a few years and I feel an unmistakable LOL coming on.

I don’t think there are many certainties in predicting the future. But we all assess the situation and bet on what’s most likely. I place my bets very confidently that the current AI will be another case of a big LOL down the road, and same with current longevity science efforts - a big LOL. As Matt Kaeberlein said: it’s a scandal that we’ve had rapamycin around for decades 30-40 years or more and we still don’t have a drug that does better in provably prolonging life even in manalian animal models. Thirty years of running in place and nothing better is an indictment of the whole process of doing life extension science. And a very pessimistic forecast of what’s to come and at what pace. That is the cold hard truth of reality. I’d love nothing more, OBVIOUSLY (!), than to be proven wrong and a gloriously rapid progress to suddenly and miraculously descend upon the field of longevity science, but my rational faculties tell me the odds are slim to none.

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Re: CE, you are underestimating the scientific evidence here :smile:. There is abundant evidence that cold temperatures extend the lifespans of animals in those environments. I don’t want to get into it here, because it’s a whole other universe of data… that’s one of the biggest losses in the demise of the CR Society website - there was a ton of research gathered on CE in one place. A unique resource.

Probably, I know that hyperthermia greatly increases the neurotoxicity of MDMA, but I haven’t looked much into the connection with longevity. :laughing: If you have any papers on how cold environments affect longevity that you think are important please share. Obviously reaction rates generally increase with temperature, so I certainly find it plausible that extrinsically lowered body temp can lower “effective” temperature.

CRISPR is a great technology but still kind of experimental right now. 20-30 years from now on it will be used for regular treatments. Still no silver bullet for defeating aging.

You raise good points --all of them – @CronosTempi. The differences in our views spring mostly from where we find ourselves on the spectrum of this artificial dichotomy.

Viewpoint 1: Geroscience Hypothesis — Aging as a Primary, Targetable Driver of Disease
This is arguably the dominant paradigm in modern aging research and has substantial theoretical and empirical support. Its core tenet posits that there is a set of core biological processes that drive aging itself. These processes are the primary risk factor for nearly all major chronic diseases, including cancer, neurodegeneration, and, of course, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). By targeting these core processes, we can simultaneously delay or prevent a wide spectrum of age-related diseases and extend healthspan.

The currently recognized hallmarks include:

  • Genomic instability
  • Telomere attrition
  • Epigenetic alterations
  • Loss of proteostasis
  • Disabled macroautophagy
  • Deregulated nutrient-sensing
  • Mitochondrial dysfunction
  • Cellular senescence
  • Stem cell exhaustion
  • Altered intercellular communication
  • Chronic inflammation (Inflammaging)
  • Dysbiosis

Taking Apo(b) as a discussion point. Apo(b)-containing lipoproteins are not just a risk factor for a plumbing problem in the arteries. They are a direct driver of at least two hallmarks: deregulated nutrient-sensing (lipids are key signaling molecules) and chronic inflammation. The deposition of LDL particles in the arterial wall incites an inflammatory response that is a classic example of localized inflammaging, which can then become systemic. Therefore, lowering Apo(b) is not merely disease prevention; it is a geroprotective intervention that targets a core hallmark.

Viewpoint 2: Network Failure Hypothesis — Aging as an Emergent Property of Decline Within and Between Interconnected Systems

This view does not contradict the Geroscience Hypothesis but rather reframes it. It is less about a single “program” of aging and more about the emergent property of a complex, interconnected system losing its resilience. The core tenant here is seeing the organism as a robust network of interacting physiological systems optimized for function in early life. Aging is the progressive and accelerating failure of this network. The “hallmarks” (or specific hallmarks) are not independent phenomena but are deeply intertwined nodes in this network. A decline in one area (e.g., mitochondrial function) places stress on others (e.g., increases genomic instability, triggers senescence), leading to a cascading collapse that manifests as what we call “aging.” My view on this is that the hallmarks in Viewpoint 1 are not siloed.

Interdependence of Hallmarks

  • Genomic instability can directly trigger cellular senescence.
  • Mitochondrial dysfunction leads to the production of reactive oxygen species (ROS) that can cause genomic instability.
  • Senescent cells secrete a cocktail of inflammatory proteins (the SASP), which drives inflammaging and alters intercellular communication.

Antagonistic Pleiotropy
While theory, there is a strong foundation for the network view. It posits that genes that are beneficial for development and reproduction in youth can have unselected, detrimental effects later in life. A prime example is the growth hormone/IGF-1/mTOR axis, which is critical for reaching maturity but whose continued high activity in later life accelerates aging by driving several hallmarks. This suggests aging is a byproduct of a system optimized for early, not late, life.

Resilience as a Biomarker
Researchers are increasingly focused on measuring the body’s ability to recover from a stressor (e.g., illness, injury) as a key indicator of biological age. This dynamic network resilience may be a more accurate measure of aging than any static biomarker.

The network failure view would frame the role of Apo(b) perfectly. Elevated Apo(b) is a significant perturbation to the network. Locally, it It destabilizes the vascular endothelial sub-network, leading to ASCVD. Systemically the chronic inflammatory response it triggers (inflammaging) is a massive stressor on the entire network. This systemic inflammation can exhaust the immune system, promote senescence in distant tissues, and contribute to insulin resistance. Thus, lowering Apo(b) does more than fix a local problem; it reduces a major source of systemic noise and stress, thereby increasing the resilience and stability of the entire physiological network. It calms a key inflammatory node, allowing the rest of the system to function better.

Is There a Best Way to Look at This Issue?
The most accurate and useful perspective is a synthesis of these two views. This avoids a false dichotomy and embraces the complexity of the biology. Aging is the progressive failure of a complex physiological network (Viewpoint 2), and the “Hallmarks of Aging” represent the most critical, interconnected nodes whose individual failures drive the overall system collapse (Viewpoint 1).

Therefore, an intervention can be, and often is, both. It is a disease-specific intervention because its most visible and measurable effect is on a particular pathophysiology (e.g., lowering Apo(b) reduces plaque formation). It is a geroprotective intervention because the node it targets (e.g., lipid-driven inflammation) is so deeply integrated into the larger network of aging that stabilizing it has beneficial, pleiotropic effects that enhance the resilience of the whole system. But it is also a powerful intervention against the process of aging by mitigating chronic inflammation, a core hallmark and a driver of network-wide instability. The distinction, while useful for regulatory and clinical purposes, is ultimately artificial from a biological standpoint.

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Sorry, imma hafta resist that temptation, cause it’s one of those you can’t eat only one potato chip thing :joy:. I’m focused on researching other things and don’t want to go back to digging up all that stuff… my apologies, the limitations of time and concentration in this 67 yo​:nerd_face:.

But hey, if you wanna go down that rabbit hole, it’s a rich vein, you can easily spend years down there :sob:.

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The question is what is upstream of what. I think the hallmarks are mainly driven by mitochondrial efficiency. There is a secondary effect from SASP and telomere length is a guide to mitochondrial efficiency. (in part because hTERT improves mitochondria and in part because higher acetylation drives hTERT)

So there are diseases of aging driven by this. Some are failures of homeostasis such as osteoporosis. CVD is IMO a failure of homeostasis with endothelial cells not differentiating correctly. Reducing apoB does not fix the problem, but it slows the deterioration.

Fixing the problem is I think the best thing to do, but does not mean ignoring lipids. OTOH I cannot at this point predict how effectively the problem can be fixed or what the precise outcome will be.

I agree but the evidence for “driven” is not concordant is it? The relationship seems to be bidirectional. But we are way into the weeds now and thinking is likely to change with subsequent waves of research. Perhaps instead of positing a single primary hallmark, there is benefit in positing the critical hubs that connect them. (I’m taking a purely pragmatic return on effort view.) From this perspective, the metabolism of NAD+ seems like a candidate for the central node connecting mitochondria, the nucleus, and overall cellular resilience. Another way of framing a middle-ground research agenda. I dunno . . .

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You have a negative way of looking at the same thing.

I could find a few areas, such as a cure for cancer, that we could agree on. You would have been hard pressed in the 1950s to find someone who didn’t believe that a cure for cancer would be achieved by the millennium.
““what might have been” the saddest word for mice or men”

Science fiction writers produced plenty of nonsense.
Even as a kid, I could see that having a Jetson cycle or flying automobile in every garage was a ridiculous idea. And, in other areas, none of them dreamed of the internet or that a single modern smartphone of today would have more raw computing power than all the world’s computers combined around 40–50 years ago, illustrating the staggering exponential growth in computing power. Or that I could reach in my pocket, pull out a phone, and talk to someone in Siberia.

The real accomplishments since my birth in 1941 continue to amaze me.
No, we haven’t achieved sustainable nuclear fusion yet.
But, we went from coal-powered plants to nuclear power, solar power, and wind power.

Some real things:
Real: Vacuum tubes to billions of transistors on a tiny chip.
Real: No electronic computers to computers that even science fiction didn’t dream of.
Real: Artificial intelligence with computational and programming powers undreamed of.
Real: Sulfa drugs to today’s advanced antibiotics
Real: Aviation: From props to Martian rovers. SpaceX is launching satellites weekly.
Real: Worldwide communications from Morse code to smartphones that have features even Star Trek writers didn’t dream of.
Real: Real robots that make Robby the Robot, which was just a science fiction dream, look antiquated.

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Blast from the past. Dr. Morgan Levine.

The science of super longevity | Dr. Morgan Levine

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I think it is via the acetylation process.

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Yes and that list is so very long and of a nature that we tend to overlook it. Many are of a broader nature but no less significant. Pinker, for example, points out that all major indicators of human progress are positive if we take the longer view, presumably one that ignores small political cycles. Another list.

  • The dramatic reduction of global child mortality from over 20% to under 4%.
  • Averting mass global famines through the Green Revolution’s high-yield crops.
  • The expansion of access to basic clean water to over 90% of the global population.
  • The complete eradication of Smallpox and the near-eradication of Polio.
  • More than doubling the average global human lifespan from ~32 to over 73 years.
  • The ‘Long Peace’ marked by the unprecedented decline of large-scale wars between major powers.
  • Establishing a global standard for human dignity with the Universal Declaration of Human Rights.
  • The liberation of billions from colonial rule through decolonization and self-determination.
  • Increasing the global literacy rate from under one-third to nearly 90%.
  • Revolutionizing mental healthcare with evidence-based psychotherapies like CBT.
  • Revealing the systematic and predictable biases in human reasoning (Kahneman & Tversky).
  • Transforming our understanding of child development through the formulation of Attachment Theory.
  • The systematization of non-violent resistance as a strategic tool for political change.
  • The foundational discovery of the DNA double helix, unlocking the genetic code of life.
  • Unifying the earth sciences with the comprehensive theory of Plate Tectonics.
  • Demonstrating successful global action by healing the ozone layer via the Montreal Protocol.
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By the way, we do have a Jetsons style flying car now. It’s called the Airbike by Volonaut. It’s just people haven’t been buying them en masse.

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And luck is a big part of healthy aging :slight_smile:

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Velcro :slight_smile:

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If by “luck” we mean events beyond our control that affect our destiny, then luck plays a substantial role in longevity. I’ve seen the optimistic sound bites claiming that we control as much as 80% of our health outcomes—but such assertions are overstated. The degree of control varies depending on the specific health issue, but even dimensions of health that seem fully—or almost fully—within our grasp often are not. Our genetic inheritance and early childhood environment set lifelong systems in motion—psychologically, epigenetically, and otherwise. Even the very interests we share in this forum can often be traced back to our genes, our upbringing, and a constellation of formative experiences. We might feel “free” in the sense that we could choose to ignore these matters—but in truth, we cannot.

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Just read a study about an excited group in Ireland talking about stem cell treatments bringing osteoarthritis to an end. Date? 2015!!! :rofl:

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Correct. We all die from something. Rapa delays getting cancer etc.

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